Köln vs Freiburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Köln - Freiburg
Result
4:1
31/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 2
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
Köln - Freiburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.94
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
79% (279/352)85% (473/556)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.631.22
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2526
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
712
Passes
79% (279/352)85% (473/556)
Long passes
40% (21/53)51% (31/61)
Passes in final third
62% (49/79)72% (97/134)
Crosses
64% (9/14)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.221.56
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
129
Tackles
78% (7/9)33% (3/9)
Duels won
3646
Clearances
4814
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.222.63
Goals prevented
0.22-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Manzambi J. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Kaminski J. , Bulter M. (A),
  • 41', Martel E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Hubers T. , Schmied J. ,
  • 46', Dinkci E. , Rohl M. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Bulter M. , Thielmann J. (A),
  • 55', Schmied J. 🟨,
  • 56', 3 - 0, Thielmann J. , Bulter M. (A),
  • 59', Huseinbasic D. , Krauss T. ,
  • 68', Thielmann J. , El Mala S. ,
  • 68', Lund K. , Gazibegovic J. ,
  • 69', Suzuki Y. , Jung A. ,
  • 69', Grifo V. , Hofler N. ,
  • 76', Bulter M. , Ache R. ,
  • 81', 4 - 0, El Mala S. ,
  • 84', 4 - 1, Eggestein M. , Gunter C. (A),
  • 85', Kubler L. , Treu P. ,
  • 85', Holer L. , Adamu J. ,

Chances of winning


Köln
36.9%
Draw
28.9%
Freiburg
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 28.7% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Köln - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.6)
    3.31
    (3.33)
    2.79
    (2.76)
    4.8%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Köln - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
    • Köln is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Freiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Köln: Kilian L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Beste J. (Ankle Injury) Matanovic I. (Injury) Osterhage P. (Muscle Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Leg Injury) Treu P. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Köln won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Freiburg were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Köln - Freiburg 0:0
    17.12.2023 Freiburg - Köln 2:0
    06.11.2022 Freiburg - Köln 2:0
    Latest results of Köln
    24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1
    17.08.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Köln 1:2
    09.08.2025 Köln - Atalanta 4:0
    25.07.2025 Köln - Leicester City 3:1
    18.07.2025 Fortuna Köln - Köln 2:2
    Latest results of Freiburg
    23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3
    09.08.2025 Freiburg - Osasuna 2:2
    11.07.2025 Freiburg - Sandhausen 2:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22009:276
    2Eintracht Frankfurt22007:256
    3FC Koln22005:146
    4Dortmund21106:334
    5St. Pauli21105:324
    6Wolfsburg21104:224
    7Augsburg21015:413
    8Stuttgart21012:203
    9Hoffenheim21013:4-13
    10Union Berlin21012:4-23
    11RB Leipzig21012:6-43
    12Bayer Leverkusen20114:5-11
    13Mainz20111:2-11
    14B. Monchengladbach20110:1-11
    15Hamburger SV20110:2-21
    16Werder Bremen20114:7-31
    17Heidenheim20021:5-40
    18Freiburg20022:7-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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