Tromsø vs Fredrikstad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Tromsø - Fredrikstad
Result
0:0
02/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 16
  • Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)
Tromsø - Fredrikstad - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.68
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
84% (454/538)80% (344/432)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.890.76
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
2827
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
84% (454/538)80% (344/432)
Long passes
45% (27/60)34% (23/68)
Passes in final third
72% (115/160)59% (74/125)
Crosses
40% (4/10)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.490.81
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1415
Tackles
82% (9/11)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4557
Clearances
3321
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.760.89
Goals prevented
0.760.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Skogvold H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Skogvold H. , Holten E. ,
  • 46', Shein R. R. , Metcalfe P. ,
  • 46', Sorlokk S. , Bjartalid J. ,
  • 72', Ohlenschlaeger O. 🟨,
  • 73', Ieltsin Camoes , Braut D. ,
  • 74', Hjerto-Dahl J. , Antonsen K. ,
  • 79', Eid D. , Owusu S. ,
  • 87', Bjartalid J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Holten E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tromsø
56.4%
Draw
24.7%
Fredrikstad
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 24% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 22.3% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tromsø's performance.
  • Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Tromsø - Fredrikstad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.85)
    3.82
    (3.9)
    4.94
    (3.7)
    5.9%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tromsø - Fredrikstad?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tromsø will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tromsø will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 4.
    • Tromsø is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fredrikstad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fredrikstad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tromsø is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Tromsø: Kinteh A. S. (Yellow Cards) Vadebu I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Tromsø: Mikkelsen M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Leg Injury)
    • We predict that Tromsø will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.1:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tromsø - Fredrikstad were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Tromsø 0:1
    29.05.2024 Tromsø - Fredrikstad 3:0
    25.05.2024 Fredrikstad - Tromsø 0:0
    Latest results of Tromsø
    27.07.2025 Rosenborg - Tromsø 4:1
    20.07.2025 Tromsø - Bryne 3:1
    13.07.2025 Strømsgodset - Tromsø 2:3
    05.07.2025 Tromsø - Molde 1:0
    29.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Tromsø 0:1
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    16.07.2025 Fredrikstad - Bodø Glimt 0:1
    12.07.2025 Fredrikstad - Molde 4:2
    05.07.2025 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:1
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking18123345:252039
    2Bodo/Glimt17122343:162738
    3Brann17103431:25633
    4Tromso16102428:22632
    5Rosenborg1886424:21330
    6Sandefjord1690732:221027
    7Fredrikstad1875623:20326
    8KFUM Oslo1673629:20924
    9Sarpsborg 081657426:21522
    10Valerenga1763824:28-421
    11Molde1662824:23120
    12Kristiansund1754818:31-1319
    13Bryne1653821:29-818
    14HamKam1645718:28-1017
    15Stromsgodset17301421:37-169
    16Haugesund1702155:44-392

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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