Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08
Result
1:1
01/06/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 9
  • Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)
Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.672.37
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1519
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
78% (318/406)74% (303/411)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.672.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.721.96
Total shots
1519
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
1016
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
2731
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
612
Passes
78% (318/406)74% (303/411)
Long passes
46% (32/69)38% (33/86)
Passes in final third
71% (133/187)60% (94/157)
Crosses
16% (5/31)38% (9/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.052.39
Throw-ins
2618
Fouls
126
Tackles
59% (13/22)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
2943
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
66
xGOT faced
1.961.72
Goals prevented
0.960.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Shein R. R. 🟨,
  • 45', Ohlenschlaeger O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Berget J. , Reinhardsen P. ,
  • 68', Skogvold H. , Sorlokk S. ,
  • 72', Koch M. 🟨,
  • 73', Jeahze M. , Halvorsen V. E. ,
  • 78', Shein R. R. , Metcalfe P. ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Sorlokk S. ,
  • 82', Michelsen C. 🟨,
  • 87', Ohlenschlaeger O. , Faraas B. ,
  • 87', Eid D. , Rafn S. ,
  • 88', Tangen H. , Gudjohnsen S. ,
  • 88', Sanyang A. , Skuseth N. ,
  • 88', Christiansen S. , Haheim-Elveseter M. ,
  • 90+11', 1 - 1, Karlsbakk D. , Koch M. (A),

Chances of winning


Fredrikstad
41.7%
Draw
27.2%
Sarpsborg 08
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 25.7% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 26% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fredrikstad's form might have worsened.
  • Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fredrikstad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2)
    3.49
    (3.65)
    3.07
    (3.4)
    5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1.
    • Fredrikstad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sarpsborg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 7:29. (average 0.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Fredrikstad 0:1
    13.04.2024 Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 2:2
    18.03.2023 Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 0:1
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    25.05.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø 0:1
    20.05.2025 Egersund - Sarpsborg 08 1:3
    16.05.2025 Brann - Sarpsborg 08 2:2
    07.05.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord 3:1
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking14103138:172133
    2Brann1382323:20326
    3Rosenborg1365215:12323
    4Tromso1171320:15522
    5Bodo/Glimt1061324:101419
    6Sandefjord1160520:16418
    7Sarpsborg 081145218:11717
    8Fredrikstad1252514:13117
    9Kristiansund1352617:19-217
    10Molde1242616:17-114
    11Valerenga1242616:18-214
    12Bryne1142517:20-314
    13HamKam1133512:21-912
    14KFUM Oslo1132615:18-311
    15Stromsgodset1120914:25-116
    16Haugesund1202104:31-272

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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