Ben Shelton vs Francis Tiafoe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Aces
9	8
Double Faults
1	3
1st Serve Percentage
54%	54%
1st Serve Points Won
90% (28/31)	75% (36/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (17/26)	46% (19/41)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)	80% (8/10)
1st Return Points Won
25% (12/48)	10% (3/31)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (22/41)	35% (9/26)
Break Points Converted
20% (2/10)	100% (1/1)
Winners
28	20
Unforced Errors
19	27
Net Points Won
67% (6/9)	89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
79% (45/57)	62% (55/89)
Return Points Won
38% (34/89)	21% (12/57)
Total Points Won
54% (79/146)	46% (67/146)
Last 10 Balls
6	4
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)	82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)	9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)	45% (10/22)

Chances of winning

Ben Shelton
65.4%

Francis Tiafoe
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)		2.75 ↑ (2.47)	4.9% (4.7%)

What is the prediction for Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 58.6% – 97%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shelton (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Shelton is ranked ATP: 8. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 11.
Shelton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tiafoe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Shelton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Ben Shelton won against Francis Tiafoe?

Ben Shelton has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Ben Shelton?

Francis Tiafoe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:

30.08.2024 Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe 2:3

07.04.2024 Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe 2:1

05.09.2023 Francis Tiafoe - Ben Shelton 1:3

Latest results of Ben Shelton

24.07.2025 Ben Shelton - Gabriel Diallo 2:0 ✺

22.07.2025 Ben Shelton - Mackenzie McDonald 2:0 ✺

09.07.2025 Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton 3:0 ✺

07.07.2025 Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego 3:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Ben Shelton - Marton Fucsovics 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Francis Tiafoe

24.07.2025 Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe 0:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe 1:2 ✺

02.07.2025 Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe 3:1 ✺

30.06.2025 Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe 0:3 ✺

25.06.2025 Christopher Eubanks - Francis Tiafoe 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Bye
2	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Vukic A.	1 : 2
3	Arnaldi M.	Altmaier D.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Sonego L. (16)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Bye
6	Munar J.	Giron M.	2 : 0
7	Tien L.	Nava E. (WC)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Rublev A. (5)
9	Shelton B. (4)	Bye
10	McDonald M. (WC)	Smith C. (Q)	2 : 0
11	Bonzi B.	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Diallo G. (15)
13	Cobolli F. (9)	Bye
14	Nishioka Y.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Halys Q.	Kovacevic A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Tiafoe F. (6)
17	Medvedev D. (8)	Bye
18	Opelka R.	Cassone M. (Q)	2 : 1
19	Monfils G.	Wu Y. (Q)	0 : 2
20	Bye	Popyrin A. (10)
21	Michelsen A. (13)	Bye
22	Evans D. (WC)	Bergs Z.	2 : 1
23	Zhukayev B. (Q)	Muller A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Moutet C. (LL)
25	De Minaur A. (7)	Bye
26	Goffin D.	Bu Y.	0 : 2
27	Svajda Z. (Q)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (11)
29	Nakashima B. (14)	Bye
30	Quinn E. (WC)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
31	Norrie C.	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Vukic A.	2 : 0
2	Arnaldi M.	Sonego L. (16)	2 : 0
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Munar J.	2 : 0
4	Tien L.	Rublev A. (5)	2 : 0
5	Shelton B. (4)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
6	Marozsan F.	Diallo G. (15)	0 : 2
7	Cobolli F. (9)	Nishioka Y.	2 : 0
8	Kovacevic A.	Tiafoe F. (6)	1 : 2
9	Medvedev D. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
10	Wu Y.	Popyrin A. (10)	2 : 1
11	Michelsen A. (13)	Evans D.	0 : 2
12	Muller A.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (7)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Svajda Z.	Lehecka J. (11)	1 : 2
15	Nakashima B. (14)	Quinn E.	2 : 0
16	Norrie C.	Musetti L. (2)	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Tien L.	2 : 0
3	Shelton B. (4)	Diallo G. (15)	2 : 0
4	Cobolli F. (9)	Tiafoe F. (6)	0 : 2
5	Medvedev D. (8)	Wu Y.	2 : 0
6	Evans D.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
7	De Minaur A. (7)	Lehecka J. (11)	2 : 1
8	Nakashima B. (14)	Norrie C.	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	1 : 2
2	Shelton B. (4)	Tiafoe F. (6)	2 : 0
3	Medvedev D. (8)	Moutet C.	1 : 2
4	De Minaur A. (7)	Nakashima B. (14)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Shelton B. (4)	2 : 0
2	Moutet C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2

Final

1

Davidovich Fokina A. (12)

De Minaur A. (7)

1 : 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: