Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Umag Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Result
1:2
22/07/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/8-finals
Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
82
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
66%66%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (39/60)69% (46/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (13/31)56% (19/34)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
31% (21/67)35% (21/60)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (15/34)58% (18/31)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)42% (5/12)
Winners
3626
Unforced Errors
4527
Net Points Won
67% (10/15)87% (13/15)
Service Points Won
57% (52/91)64% (65/101)
Return Points Won
36% (36/101)43% (39/91)
Total Points Won
46% (88/192)54% (104/192)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Francesco Passaro
49.1%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Passaro's performance.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Passaro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camilo Ugo Carabelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.38)

    1.86
    (1.57)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Passaro (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Passaro is ranked ATP: 121. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 51.
    • Recent performances by Passaro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ugo Carabelli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Passaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Francesco Passaro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Taberner C.Herbert P.2 : 0
    3De Jong J.Poljicak M. (WC)2 : 0
    4Barrios Vera T.Navone M. (5)0 : 2
    5Dzumhur D. (4)Bye
    6Guillen Meza A. (Q)Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Garin C.2 : 0
    8Collignon R.Kopriva V. (8)1 : 2
    9Majchrzak K. (7)Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)0 : 2
    10Lajovic D.Atmane T.0 : 2
    11Dodig M. (WC)Passaro F.1 : 2
    12ByeUgo Carabelli C. (3)
    13Carballes Baena R. (6)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    14Prizmic D. (WC)Moller E.2 : 0
    15Tseng C. H.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2De Jong J.Navone M. (5)2 : 0
    3Dzumhur D. (4)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kopriva V. (8)2 : 0
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Atmane T.2 : 0
    6Passaro F.Ugo Carabelli C. (3)1 : 2
    7Basilashvili N.Prizmic D.1 : 2
    8Tseng C. H.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Taberner C.De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Dzumhur D. (4)Droguet T.2 : 1
    3Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.)Ugo Carabelli C. (3)0 : 1
    4Prizmic D.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Taberner C.Dzumhur D. (4)2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2
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