Fossombrone vs Tivoli Calcio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie D - Group F Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio
Result
1:3
20/12/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 17
Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Fossombrone
54.9%
Draw
26.2%
Tivoli Calcio
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 24.9% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 24.1% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fossombrone's form might have worsened.
  • Tivoli Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Calcio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fossombrone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.48)
    3.41
    (3.64)
    4.72
    (6.6)
    11.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Fossombrone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fossombrone is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fossombrone
    Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare44006:2412
    2L Aquila431010:4610
    3Notaresco Calcio431010:4610
    4Ancona43017:439
    5Teramo42207:348
    6Termoli42117:527
    7Calcio Chieti41307:616
    8Fossombrone41305:416
    9Unipomezia41215:6-15
    10Giulianova41215:7-25
    11Sora41126:604
    12Recanatese41127:8-14
    13Vigor Senigallia41122:4-24
    14Maceratese41033:5-23
    15Sammaurese41035:8-33
    16Atletico Ascoli40225:8-32
    17San Marino Calcio40042:8-60
    18Castelfidardo40041:8-70

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation

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