Fossombrone vs Tivoli Calcio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie D - Group F Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio
Result
1:3
20/12/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 17
Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Fossombrone
54.9%
Draw
26.2%
Tivoli Calcio
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 24.9% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 24.1% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fossombrone's form might have worsened.
  • Tivoli Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Calcio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fossombrone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.48)
    3.41
    (3.64)
    4.72
    (6.6)
    11.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Fossombrone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fossombrone is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fossombrone
    Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. N. Notaresco11004:133
    2Sammaurese11003:123
    3Giulianova11002:113
    4Ostiamare11001:013
    5Vigor Senigallia11001:013
    6L Aquila10102:201
    7Atletico Ascoli10102:201
    8Teramo10101:101
    9Calcio Chieti10101:101
    10Unipomezia10101:101
    11Fossombrone10101:101
    12San Marino Calcio00000:000
    13Termoli00000:000
    14Sora10011:2-10
    15Ancona10010:1-10
    16Maceratese10010:1-10
    17Castelfidardo10011:3-20
    18Recanatese10011:4-30

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation

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