Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN).

: USL League One

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.80	1.54
Ball Possession
27%	73%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
63% (130/206)	88% (505/573)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80	1.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.85	0.87
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
23	23
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
5	16
Passes
63% (130/206)	88% (505/573)
Long passes
41% (26/64)	55% (37/67)
Passes in final third
55% (55/100)	75% (102/136)
Crosses
0% (0/8)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.18	0.99
Throw-ins
13	17
Fouls
16	5
Tackles
93% (14/15)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
43	46
Clearances
24	20
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.87	1.85
Goals prevented
-0.13	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Boyce D. 🟨,
45+1', Watters D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Green O. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Hernandez O. ⚽, Bentley M. (A),
61', Angking I. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
61', Galindrez J. ↓, Lucca Dourado ↑,
62', Boyce D. ↓, Gebhard D. ↑,
65', Jackson K. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
65', Mercer G. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
67', Viader D. 🟨,
73', Bentley M. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Gebhard D. ⚽,
90', Wessels W. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Vazquez Z. ⚽,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Chattanooga Red Wolves
36.6%

Draw
29.2%

Forward Madison
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

25.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

23.8%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga Red Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.34)	3.17 ↓ (3.7)	2.7 ↑ (2.65)	8.2% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 1.
Chattanooga has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Forward Madison has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Chattanooga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Chattanooga Red Wolves won against Forward Madison?

Chattanooga Red Wolves has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Forward Madison has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison were as follows:

31.05.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison 2:1

12.10.2024 Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:1

07.09.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison 1:3

10.08.2024 Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:1

08.06.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison 0:1

Latest results of Chattanooga Red Wolves

01.08.2025 Westchester SC - Chattanooga Red Wolves 1:3 ✺

26.07.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville 1:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Spokane Velocity 3:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Texoma 1:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Forward Madison

02.08.2025 Forward Madison - AV Alta 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Birmingham Legion - Forward Madison 2:1 ✺

23.07.2025 Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta 1:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence 1:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph 3:1 ✺

USL League One Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chattanooga Red Wolves	19	10	7	2	31:19	12	37
2	Spokane Velocity	18	10	5	3	26:16	10	35
3	FC Naples	20	9	6	5	28:23	5	33
4	One Knoxville	17	8	7	2	25:16	9	31
5	Charlotte Independ	20	8	7	5	35:30	5	31
6	AV Alta	19	7	7	5	28:24	4	28
7	Greenville	20	6	6	8	29:30	-1	24
8	Texoma	19	5	6	8	24:32	-8	21
9	Portland Hearts of Pine	17	4	9	4	18:17	1	21
10	Tormenta	20	5	5	10	29:38	-9	20
11	Forward Madison	19	3	10	6	17:21	-4	19
12	Union Omaha	18	5	3	10	22:30	-8	18
13	Richmond Kickers	19	4	5	10	27:33	-6	17
14	Westchester SC	19	3	7	9	29:39	-10	16

Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+