Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI).

: USL League One

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.91
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
80% (317/397)	77% (244/316)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.60	1.13
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
1	6
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
16	27
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
17	15
Passes
80% (317/397)	77% (244/316)
Long passes
41% (30/74)	45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
70% (64/91)	67% (80/120)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	1.12
Throw-ins
15	22
Fouls
15	17
Tackles
46% (6/13)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
57	64
Clearances
24	17
Interceptions
2	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.13	0.60
Goals prevented
0.13	-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Lelin Y. 🟨,
38', Ramos J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Lucca Dourado ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
62', Boyce D. 🟨,
67', Hernandez P. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
67', Acosta M. ↓, Jnohope T. ↑,
75', Hernandez O. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Gebhard D. ⚽, Mesias A. (A),
81', Gebhard D. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
81', Mesias A. ↓, Boltz D. ↑,
83', Ualefi ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
83', Kinzner E. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Ramos J. ⚽,
90+4', Galindrez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Forward Madison
43%

Draw
29.4%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forward Madison, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.88)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	3.35 ↓ (3.65)	8.4% (10.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Chattanooga is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3.
Forward Madison is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Chattanooga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.
Forward Madison will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Forward Madison has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chattanooga Red Wolves won against Forward Madison?

Chattanooga Red Wolves has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves were as follows:

06.08.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison 2:1

31.05.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison 2:1

12.10.2024 Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:1

07.09.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison 1:3

10.08.2024 Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:1

Latest results of Forward Madison

04.10.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison 1:3 ✺

28.09.2025 Westchester SC - Forward Madison 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison 3:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers 1:0 ✺

06.09.2025 AV Alta - Forward Madison 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Chattanooga Red Wolves

04.10.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph 0:0 ✺

01.10.2025 One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha 0:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Spokane Velocity - Chattanooga Red Wolves 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Chattanooga Red Wolves 1:1 ✺

USL League One Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔	29	14	10	5	40:29	11	52
2	One Knoxville ✔	28	14	9	5	40:25	15	51
3	Spokane Velocity ✔	27	13	8	6	37:27	10	47
4	FC Naples ✔	28	12	8	8	38:31	7	44
5	Union Omaha ✔	28	12	6	10	45:37	8	42
6	Portland Hearts of Pine ✔	27	10	10	7	38:33	5	40
7	Tormenta	28	11	6	11	48:46	2	39
8	Charlotte Independ	29	10	7	12	45:48	-3	37
9	Forward Madison	28	8	11	9	30:34	-4	35
10	AV Alta	29	8	11	10	40:45	-5	35
11	Greenville	28	8	8	12	37:38	-1	32
12	Texoma	28	7	9	12	34:50	-16	30
13	Richmond Kickers	29	7	5	17	38:52	-14	26
14	Westchester SC	28	5	8	15	40:55	-15	23

Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Union Omaha is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Portland Hearts of Pine is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )

Which TV channels are streaming of Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+