Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 6
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.83
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
77% (267/345)85% (514/602)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.90
Total shots
814
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
832
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
712
Passes
77% (267/345)85% (514/602)
Long passes
41% (25/61)52% (35/67)
Passes in final third
46% (35/76)75% (130/173)
Crosses
20% (1/5)38% (12/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.151.55
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
127
Tackles
50% (13/26)55% (11/20)
Duels won
5164
Clearances
425
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.900.57
Goals prevented
0.90-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ihattaren M. ,
  • 24', Brittijn P. 🟨,
  • 39', Limnios D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sierhuis K. , Gladon P. ,
  • 46', Peterson K. , Michut E. ,
  • 50', Iqbal Z. 🟨,
  • 54', Engwanda A. 🟨,
  • 62', Min D. , Haller S. ,
  • 63', Blake A. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 63', Bozdogan C. , Demircan E. ,
  • 65', Ihattaren M. , Tunjic L. ,
  • 65', Lonwijk J. , Pinto I. ,
  • 80', Iqbal Z. , van Ommeren J. ,
  • 82', Limnios D. , Aiko M. ,
  • 83', Michut E. 🟨,
  • 88', Viergever N. , Eerdhuijzen M. ,
  • 90+6', Branderhorst M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Sittard
29.2%
Draw
27.3%
Utrecht
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 26.3% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 26.1% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (3.9)
    3.52
    (3.6)
    2.19
    (1.91)
    4.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.
    • Fortuna Sittard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Utrecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Utrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Utrecht: El Arguioui R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: van Ottele S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht 0:0
    22.12.2024 Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard 2:5
    11.02.2024 Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard 4:0
    28.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht 0:0
    03.03.2023 Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard 1:2
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Latest results of Utrecht
    14.09.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 0:1
    31.08.2025 Zwolle - Utrecht 0:2
    28.08.2025 Utrecht - Zrinjski Mostar 0:0
    24.08.2025 Utrecht - Excelsior 4:1
    21.08.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Utrecht 0:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord651014:41016
    2PSV641119:10913
    3Ajax633012:6612
    4Groningen640212:9312
    5AZ Alkmaar532012:7511
    6Sittard631210:9110
    7Nijmegen630319:1279
    8Utrecht630311:569
    9G.A. Eagles623111:929
    10Sparta Rotterdam63038:16-89
    11Twente62139:817
    12NAC Breda62136:10-47
    13Zwolle52034:7-36
    14Excelsior62045:13-86
    15Heerenveen61238:10-25
    16FC Volendam60427:11-44
    17Telstar61145:11-64
    18Heracles60063:18-150

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht?
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