Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles Almelo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo
Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 25
  • Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.480.19
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
125
Shots on Goal
50
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
26
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
1911
Offsides
21
Fouls
1119
Throw-ins
2730
Touches in the Opposition Box
2213
Passes
70% (239/342)74% (289/388)
Passes in the final third
55% (58/105)61% (63/104)
Crosses
50% (7/14)4% (1/23)
Tackles
73% (16/22)55% (6/11)
Clearances Total
1721
Interceptions
106

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Halilovic A. , Da Cruz A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Talvitie J. , Engels M. ,
  • 65', Scheperman S. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Peterson K. (Pen),
  • 70', Peterson K. , Rosier L. ,
  • 71', Radulovic B. , Sierhuis K. ,
  • 73', Hornkamp J. , Limbombe B. ,
  • 73', Bruns T. , Zamburek J. ,
  • 86', Wieckhoff J. , Benita M. ,
  • 87', Da Cruz A. , Bastien S. ,
  • 87', Michut E. , Mitrovic J. ,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Sittard
40.1%
Draw
27.7%
Heracles Almelo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 25.4% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 26% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.
  • Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.05)
    3.4
    (3.73)
    2.96
    (3.33)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Heracles will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 50.5%99.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 1.
    • Fortuna Sittard is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Heracles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Heracles have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Mesik I. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Demir O. (Injury) Sierhuis K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heracles: Laursen N. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard 2:2
    19.05.2024 Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard 0:0
    10.11.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo 4:1
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2ByeWillem II
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1DordrechtWillem II2 : 4, 2 : 1
    2TelstarDen Bosch2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Willem IITelstar1 : 3, 2 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
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