Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.48 | 0.19 |
Ball Possession |
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46% | 54% |
Goal Attempts |
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12 | 5 |
Shots on Goal |
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5 | 0 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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19 | 11 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Fouls |
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11 | 19 |
Throw-ins |
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27 | 30 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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22 | 13 |
Passes |
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70% (239/342) | 74% (289/388) |
Passes in the final third |
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55% (58/105) | 61% (63/104) |
Crosses |
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50% (7/14) | 4% (1/23) |
Tackles |
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73% (16/22) | 55% (6/11) |
Clearances Total |
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17 | 21 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Halilovic A. ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Talvitie J. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 65', Scheperman S. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Peterson K. (Pen),
- 70', Peterson K. ↓, Rosier L. ↑,
- 71', Radulovic B. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
- 73', Hornkamp J. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
- 73', Bruns T. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
- 86', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
- 87', Da Cruz A. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
- 87', Michut E. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard 40.1% | Draw 27.7% | Heracles Almelo 32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↑ (2.05) |
3.4 ↓ (3.73) |
2.96 ↓ (3.33) |
5.4% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Heracles will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 1.
- Fortuna Sittard is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Heracles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Heracles have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Mesik I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Demir O.
(Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Laursen N.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Heracles Almelo?
Fortuna Sittard has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Fortuna Sittard?
Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
07.12.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:2
19.05.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Fortuna Sittard
0:0
10.11.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Heracles Almelo
4:1
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Draw
Relegation - Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | De Graafschap | Dordrecht | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
2 | Bye | Willem II | |
3 | Telstar | Den Haag | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
4 | Den Bosch | Cambuur | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Dordrecht | Willem II | 2 : 4, 2 : 1 |
2 | Telstar | Den Bosch | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Final1 | Willem II | Telstar | 1 : 3, 2 : 2 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |