Result
19/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eredivisie - Round 9
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
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Chances of winning
Excelsior
42.3% | Draw
26.7% | Fortuna Sittard
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.29) |
3.64 ↓
(3.65) |
3.06 ↑
(2.94) |
4.4%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Excelsior could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Heart Problems)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
van Ottele S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Schouten L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Adewoye S.
(Illness)
Ihattaren M.
(Inactive)
Michut E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Fortuna Sittard?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Excelsior?
Fortuna Sittard has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
03.03.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Excelsior
5:2
26.08.2023
Excelsior
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:2
21.05.2023
Excelsior
-
Fortuna Sittard
3:0
17.09.2022
Fortuna Sittard
-
Excelsior
1:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Which TV channels are streaming of Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
