Vitória Salvador vs Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza
Result
2:1
16/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 4
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.02
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
83% (324/391)90% (523/579)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.591.79
Total shots
159
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2012
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
83% (324/391)90% (523/579)
Long passes
35% (18/51)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
68% (63/93)76% (97/127)
Crosses
26% (5/19)31% (9/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.14
Fouls
1510
Tackles
64% (9/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
3648
Clearances Total
2324
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.791.59
Goals prevented
0.79-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Janderson , Erick (A),
  • 42', Baralhas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Marinho , Deyverson ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Diogo Barbosa , Fernandez P. (A),
  • 59', Ricardo Ryller , Pepe ,
  • 59', Erick , Fabricio ,
  • 67', Fernandez P. , Calebe ,
  • 71', Gustavo Silva , Ronald Lopes ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Matheuzinho , Jamerson (A),
  • 75', Mancuso E. , Yago Pikachu ,
  • 75', Matheus Rossetto , Ze Welison ,
  • 79', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
  • 80', Kuscevic B. , Andrade K. ,
  • 82', Matheuzinho , Osvaldo ,
  • 83', Jamerson , Edu ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
40.1%
Draw
31.2%
Fortaleza
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 29.4% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 31.1% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.76)
    3.04
    (3.21)
    3.3
    (2.6)
    5.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 3.
    • Vitória is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Gabriel (Inactive) Renato Kayzer (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno (Red Card) Breno Lopes (Forearm injury) Britez E. (Ankle Injury) Pochettino T. (Inactive) Tinga (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Moises (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Vitória won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza were as follows:
    19.02.2025 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 1:2
    01.12.2024 Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza 2:0
    17.07.2024 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 3:1
    23.03.2024 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 0:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    10.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Fortaleza Abandoned
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    01.04.2025 Fortaleza - Racing 0:3
    29.03.2025 Fortaleza - Fluminense 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras86119:3619
    2Flamengo RJ852117:41317
    3Bragantino852110:6417
    4Cruzeiro851213:7616
    5Fluminense841310:10013
    6Ceara83329:7212
    7Atletico-MG833210:10012
    8Bahia83327:8-112
    9Botafogo RJ832310:5511
    10Corinthians831411:14-310
    11Fortaleza824210:5510
    12Mirassol824213:11210
    13Internacional823310:12-29
    14Vitoria82339:11-29
    15Gremio82337:12-59
    16Sao Paulo81616:609
    17Vasco82157:11-47
    18Juventude82157:20-137
    19Santos81257:10-35
    20Sport Recife80264:14-102

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