Result
2:0
19/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (333/443) | 73% (277/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (333/443) | 73% (277/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (56/104) | 67% (52/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Carrizo M. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
- 8', Carrizo M. 🟨,
- 28', 2 - 0, Galvan T. ⚽, Gordon J. (A),
- 40', Ze Welison 🟨,
- 42', Aliendro R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 46', Breno Lopes ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 46', Marinho ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
- 46', Mancuso E. 🟨,
- 61', Ze Welison ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 66', Machuca I. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 66', Galvan T. ↓, Andrada T. ↑,
- 68', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
- 75', Carrizo M. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
- 75', Mancuso E. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
- 84', Braian Romero ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 84', Aliendro R. ↓, Bouzat A. ↑,
- 90+1', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
50.6% | Draw
29.1% | Fortaleza
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Vélez Sársfield - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.83) |
3.23 ↓
(3.3) |
4.61 ↑
(4.6) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 49.9% – 90.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fortaleza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Vélez is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Vélez: Andrada I.
(Back Injury)
Bouzat A.
(Calf Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Mammana E.
(Injury)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
Valdes D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Finger Injury)
Matheus Rossetto
(Red Card)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Joao Ricardo
(Finger Injury)
Kuscevic B.
(Inactive)
Pereira M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vélez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Fortaleza?
Vélez Sársfield has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Vélez Sársfield?
Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Fortaleza were as follows:
12.08.2025
Fortaleza
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:0
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Fortaleza
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Vélez Sársfield - Fortaleza?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
