Flamengo vs Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Flamengo - Fortaleza
Result
5:0
01/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 11
  • Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
Flamengo - Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.38
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
133
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
91% (563/621)84% (275/326)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.38
xG on target (xGOT)
4.140.45
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
133
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
309
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
91% (563/621)84% (275/326)
Long passes
70% (30/43)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
73% (83/114)73% (61/83)
Crosses
30% (3/10)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.70
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
1011
Tackles
72% (13/18)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
1818
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.454.14
Goals prevented
0.45-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Alex Sandro 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. , Leo Ortiz (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Evertton Araujo , Varela G. (A),
  • 56', 3 - 0, Luiz Araujo , de Arrascaeta G. (A),
  • 59', de Arrascaeta G. , Pulgar E. ,
  • 59', Bruno Henrique , Pedro ,
  • 59', Everton , Michael ,
  • 64', Pochettino T. , Yago Pikachu ,
  • 64', Deyverson , Lucero J. ,
  • 64', Lucca Prior , Breno Lopes ,
  • 67', Ze Welison 🟨,
  • 71', 4 - 0, Michael , Varela G. (A),
  • 74', 5 - 0, Luiz Araujo , Pedro (A),
  • 79', Luiz Araujo , Juninho ,
  • 79', Mancuso E. , Avila G. ,
  • 79', Marinho , Rodrigo ,
  • 84', Alex Sandro , Vina M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flamengo
68.8%
Draw
20.2%
Fortaleza
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 23.2% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 22.7% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Flamengo - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.52)
    4.62
    (4.08)
    8.6
    (6.53)
    5.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Flamengo - Fortaleza?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2.
    • Flamengo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fortaleza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Plata G. (Knee Injury) Pulgar E. (Hamstring Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury) de la Cruz N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Inactive) Diogo Barbosa (Inactive) Fernandez P. (Inactive) Lucas Sasha (Forearm injury) Moises (Thigh Injury) Pedro Augusto (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Matheus Rossetto (Injury) Pedro Augusto (Injury) Rodrigo (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Fortaleza were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Fortaleza - Flamengo 0:0
    11.07.2024 Flamengo - Fortaleza 1:2
    05.11.2023 Fortaleza - Flamengo 0:2
    01.07.2023 Flamengo - Fortaleza 2:0
    28.09.2022 Fortaleza - Flamengo 3:2
    Latest results of Flamengo
    25.05.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:2
    21.05.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo PB 4:2
    18.05.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    15.05.2025 Flamengo - LDU Quito 2:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    29.05.2025 Racing - Fortaleza 1:0
    25.05.2025 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:2
    21.05.2025 Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil 1:2
    17.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 3:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1172217:8923
    3Bragantino1172214:8623
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Fluminense1162315:12320
    6Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    7Bahia1153311:11018
    8Mirassol1145217:12517
    9Atletico-MG1145211:10117
    10Ceara1143413:11215
    11Corinthians1143412:14-215
    12Gremio1143411:14-315
    13Sao Paulo112639:11-212
    14Internacional1125412:16-411
    15Vasco1131711:15-410
    16Vitoria1124510:14-410
    17Fortaleza1124510:15-510
    18Santos112278:12-48
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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