Atlético Mineiro vs Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza
Result
Postponed
24/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 16
Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
54.8%
Draw
26.2%
Fortaleza
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 26.2% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 25.5% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.69)
    3.62
    (3.62)
    4.97
    (5.39)
    5.5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
    • Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fortaleza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Cuello (Inactive) Fausto Vera (Inactive) Gabriel Menino (Injury) Guilherme Arana (Injury) Lyanco (Yellow Cards) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Rubens (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno (Inactive) Bruninho (Inactive) Bruno Pacheco (Tendon Injury) David Luiz (Thigh Injury) Emmanuel Martinez (Yellow Cards) Gustavo Mancha (Injury) Joao Ricardo (Inactive) Lucero J. (Yellow Cards) Marinho (Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza were as follows:
    16.10.2024 Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro 1:1
    23.06.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza 1:1
    01.11.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza 3:1
    24.06.2023 Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro 2:1
    24.10.2022 Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro 0:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    19.07.2025 Fortaleza - Bahia 1:1
    13.07.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    09.07.2025 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:1
    12.06.2025 Fortaleza - Santos 2:3
    01.06.2025 Flamengo - Fortaleza 5:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ20144244:93546
    2Palmeiras19133327:151242
    3Cruzeiro21125434:151941
    4Bahia19106327:171036
    5Botafogo RJ1995526:121432
    6Mirassol1988330:191132
    7Sao Paulo2188526:22432
    8Bragantino2193926:28-230
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara2075819:19026
    11Corinthians2167822:27-525
    12Atletico-MG1966720:23-324
    13Internacional2066823:28-524
    14Gremio2066819:25-624
    15Santos20631120:31-1121
    16Vasco20541127:29-219
    17Vitoria21310818:32-1419
    18Juventude20531218:41-2318
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife19171112:30-1810

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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