Fortaleza CEIF vs Unión Magdalena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena
Result
0:1
24/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.83
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
81% (413/512)66% (167/252)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.21
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
128
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
1916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
510
Passes
81% (413/512)66% (167/252)
Long passes
55% (37/67)53% (38/72)
Passes in final third
62% (96/156)46% (31/68)
Crosses
29% (6/21)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.38
Throw-ins
2212
Fouls
105
Tackles
56% (5/9)100% (6/6)
Duels won
2333
Clearances
729
Interceptions
05
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.210.04
Goals prevented
-0.790.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Cantillo F. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Ruiz D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Diaz Y. , Ramiirez S. ,
  • 51', Sanchez L. , Ricaurte A. ,
  • 63', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. , Giraldo J. ,
  • 66', Florez K. , Salas J. ,
  • 67', Cuero S. , Mosquera C. ,
  • 76', Mercado J. 🟨,
  • 76', Aleman J. , Pinto J. ,
  • 77', Mercado J. , Diaz K. ,
  • 88', 0 - 1, Cantillo F. ,
  • 90+2', Sarmiento J. , Penaloza J. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fortaleza CEIF
64%
Draw
23.1%
Unión Magdalena
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 27.5% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 26.7% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.
  • Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Magdalena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Magdalena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.76)
    4
    (3.4)
    6.98
    (4.85)
    7.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH -1 - Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH -1.5 - Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Fortaleza CEIF will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortaleza CEIF will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
    • In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Unión Magdalena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fortaleza is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
    30.03.2023 Unión Magdalena - Fortaleza CEIF 4:2
    15.03.2023 Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena 2:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
    Latest results of Unión Magdalena
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Medellin ✔ 43106:2410
    2Deportes Tolima41216:605
    3America De Cali41215:6-15
    4Junior40132:5-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Millonarios41303:216
    2Santa Fe42025:506
    3Atl. Nacional41213:305
    4Once Caldas40313:4-13

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs Final)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
    usaUsaFanatiz
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