Result
0:1
24/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (413/512) | 66% (167/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (413/512) | 66% (167/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (37/67) | 53% (38/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (96/156) | 46% (31/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Cantillo F. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ruiz D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Diaz Y. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
- 51', Sanchez L. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
- 63', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
- 66', Florez K. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 67', Cuero S. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
- 76', Mercado J. 🟨,
- 76', Aleman J. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 77', Mercado J. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 1, Cantillo F. ⚽,
- 90+2', Sarmiento J. ↓, Penaloza J. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
64% | Draw
23.1% | Unión Magdalena
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Magdalena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Magdalena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.76) |
4 ↑
(3.4) |
6.98 ↑
(4.85) |
7.9%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -1 - Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -1.5 - Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza CEIF will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortaleza CEIF will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
- In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Unión Magdalena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fortaleza is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Unión Magdalena?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
30.03.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Fortaleza CEIF
4:2
15.03.2023
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Unión Magdalena
2:1
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A Table
Apertura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Medellin ✔ | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Junior | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Millonarios | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs Final)
Which TV channels are streaming of Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
