Junior Barranquilla vs Fortaleza CEIF: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/05/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla).

: Primera A - Apertura - Round 19

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	0.79
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	0
Passes
82% (343/419)	82% (320/390)
Yellow Cards
5	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.91	1.37
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	0
Touches in opposition box
14	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
82% (343/419)	82% (320/390)
Long passes
41% (20/49)	57% (32/56)
Passes in final third
69% (57/83)	73% (80/110)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	0.47
Throw-ins
13	22
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
77% (10/13)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
31	30
Clearances
19	14
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.37	1.91
Goals prevented
0.37	-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Bacca C. (Pen),
43', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
44', Baez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Aristizabal E. ⚽,
64', Bacca C. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
64', Barrera J. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
68', Sanchez L. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Enamorado J. (A),
76', Gutierrez T. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
76', Castrillon B. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
77', Aristizabal E. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
78', Angel Bernal F. S. 🟨,
82', Rivera D. 🟨,
85', Chara Y. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
87', Moreno D. 🟨,
88', Florez K. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
88', Pajaro R. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
88', Mosquera C. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Junior Barranquilla
65.2%

Draw
21.4%

Fortaleza CEIF
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

19.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18.8%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-3%)

Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.32)	4.33 ↓ (4.7)	6.93 ↓ (8.5)	7.5% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fortaleza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Junior is the clear favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Junior won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Fortaleza CEIF?

Junior Barranquilla has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Junior Barranquilla?

Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:

17.08.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1

11.02.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla 2:0

Latest results of Junior Barranquilla

10.05.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali 0:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Junior Barranquilla 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF

10.05.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad 4:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Fortaleza CEIF 0:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	18	10	5	3	34:16	18	35
2	Millonarios ✔	19	10	5	4	26:15	11	35
3	Junior ✔	19	9	7	3	23:14	9	34
4	America De Cali ✔	18	9	6	3	25:12	13	33
5	Santa Fe	19	9	6	4	27:17	10	33
6	Deportes Tolima ✔	18	9	6	3	26:16	10	33
7	Ind. Medellin	18	7	8	3	17:9	8	29
8	Once Caldas	17	8	3	6	21:20	1	27
9	Bucaramanga	19	7	5	7	22:19	3	26
10	Dep. Pasto	18	7	5	6	17:17	0	26
11	Alianza	19	7	5	7	17:20	-3	26
12	Pereira	18	6	7	5	19:19	0	25
13	Dep. Cali	19	5	9	5	14:16	-2	24
14	Fortaleza	19	5	5	9	15:24	-9	20
15	Chico	19	4	8	7	12:27	-15	20
16	Envigado	19	5	3	11	15:27	-12	18
17	Llaneros	18	5	2	11	17:24	-7	17
18	Aguilas	18	2	9	7	13:17	-4	15
19	La Equidad	19	2	4	13	13:32	-19	10
20	U. Magdalena	17	0	8	9	13:25	-12	8

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Millonarios is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )

Which TV channels are streaming of Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America