Fortaleza CEIF vs América de Cali: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 11

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.21	0.42
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
75% (215/285)	85% (409/480)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21	0.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	0.02
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
9	9
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
11	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
75% (215/285)	85% (409/480)
Long passes
47% (26/55)	63% (38/60)
Passes in final third
49% (32/65)	68% (78/115)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.23	0.60
Throw-ins
13	20
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
70% (7/10)	50% (3/6)
Duels won
28	30
Clearances
15	15
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.02	0.64
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Valencia S. (Pen),
44', Florez K. 🟨,
45+2', Valencia S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Borrero D. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
46', Ramos L. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
46', Barrios C. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
46', Florez K. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
49', Pestana J. 🟨,
53', Velasquez J. 🟨,
54', Balanta J. 🟥,
57', Murillo J. 🟨,
61', Ricaurte A. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
61', Cordoba S. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
64', Pico L. 🟨,
71', Holgado R. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
77', Castillo M. ↓, Angulo K. ↑,
79', Arroyo A. ↓, Salas J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Fortaleza CEIF
45%

Draw
37.5%

América de Cali
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

30%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América de Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América de Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.54)	3.16 ↑ (3)	7.25 ↑ (2.75)	-14.7% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 20).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against América de Cali?

Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Fortaleza CEIF?

América de Cali has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali were as follows:

30.03.2025 América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0

28.09.2024 América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1

17.03.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali 0:0

Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF

07.09.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0 ✺

03.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe 2:0 ✺

Latest results of América de Cali

07.09.2025 América de Cali - Deportivo Cali 0:0 ✺

03.09.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali 1:0 ✺

27.08.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Nacional 1:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	12	7	3	2	22:9	13	24
2	Junior	11	6	3	2	22:14	8	21
3	Fortaleza	11	5	6	0	15:9	6	21
4	Ind. Medellin	10	6	2	2	19:13	6	20
5	Deportes Tolima	12	6	2	4	14:9	5	20
6	Llaneros	12	5	3	4	10:10	0	18
7	Atl. Nacional	11	4	5	2	18:14	4	17
8	Dep. Cali	12	4	5	3	17:16	1	17
9	Santa Fe	12	4	5	3	12:11	1	17
10	Alianza	12	4	4	4	13:15	-2	16
11	Pereira	11	3	4	4	9:10	-1	13
12	Once Caldas	12	3	4	5	11:14	-3	13
13	Envigado	12	2	6	4	9:11	-2	12
14	Millonarios	11	3	2	6	11:15	-4	11
15	Aguilas	11	2	5	4	11:15	-4	11
16	U. Magdalena	11	3	2	6	11:18	-7	11
17	La Equidad	12	2	5	5	7:15	-8	11
18	Dep. Pasto	11	2	4	5	12:14	-2	10
19	America De Cali	11	2	4	5	7:10	-3	10
20	Chico	11	2	4	5	7:15	-8	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz