Result
2:2
29/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Venne M. (Can)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (333/390) | 88% (354/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (333/390) | 88% (354/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (23/36) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (87/124) | 78% (52/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 0 - 1, Ferrin M. ⚽, Reid A. (A),
- 27', Rama R. 🟨,
- 27', Adekugbe E. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Wright B. ⚽, Ampomah N. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Reid A. ⚽, Altobelli J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Owolabi-Belewu M. ↓, Kane K. ↑,
- 50', Reid A. 🟨,
- 56', Massunda H. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
- 56', Jensen N. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 60', Kibato K. ↓, Accettola L. ↑,
- 64', Pavela I. 🟨,
- 66', Ampomah N. 🟨,
- 69', Owolabi-Belewu M. 🟨,
- 72', Wright B. 🟨,
- 77', Reid A. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,
- 79', Ampomah N. ↓, Borges T. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Choiniere D. ⚽, Rama R. (A),
- 84', Ferrazzo R. ↓, Jimoh S. ↑,
- 84', Altobelli J. ↓, Bitar G. ↑,
- 84', Yeates S. 🟨,
- 90', Wright B. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Forge
54.9% | Draw
25.4% | York United
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)York United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for York United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Forge - York United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.69) |
3.57 ↓
(3.7) |
4.61 ↑
(4.51) |
10.2%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Forge - York United?
Users Predictions:
Forge will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Forge will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 3.
- Forge has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- York United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Forge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Forge is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Forge will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forge won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against York United?
Forge has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has York United won against Forge?
York United has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forge - York United were as follows:
27.04.2025
York United
-
Forge
2:2
28.09.2024
Forge
-
York United
2:0
23.08.2024
York United
-
Forge
0:0
01.06.2024
Forge
-
York United
3:0
01.05.2024
Forge
-
York United
3:1
Latest results of York United
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Ottawa | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Forge | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 28:12 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:15 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | York Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Valour | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18:36 | -18 | 14 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Forge - York United?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
