Forge vs HFX Wanderers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Canadian Championship Forge - HFX Wanderers
Result
3:1
07/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - 1/8-finals
Forge - HFX Wanderers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.40
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (304/363)84% (416/495)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.561.15
Total shots
107
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
813
Passes
84% (304/363)84% (416/495)
Long passes
57% (26/46)50% (35/70)
Passes in final third
74% (86/117)62% (75/121)
Crosses
13% (3/23)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.56
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
138
Tackles
73% (11/15)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3541
Clearances
1916
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.151.56
Goals prevented
0.15-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Babouli M. ,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Sow K. (Own goal),
  • 41', 2 - 1, Meilleur-Gigeuere T. , Timoteo W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Nimick D. 🟨,
  • 61', Paton B. 🟨,
  • 69', Bahamboula J. , Bai Y. ,
  • 69', Rea S. , Vitor Dias ,
  • 74', Sow K. 🟨,
  • 74', Borges T. , Jensen N. ,
  • 76', Pearlman A. , Rampersad A. ,
  • 76', Choiniere D. , Ampomah N. ,
  • 82', Jensen N. 🟨,
  • 86', Callegari L. , Biello A. ,
  • 86', Johnston I. , Mann J. ,
  • 87', Wright B. , Filion M. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Babouli M. ,
  • 90+2', Babouli M. , Massunda H. ,
  • 90+3', Bekker K. , Kane K. ,

Chances of winning


Forge
44.8%
Draw
27.2%
HFX Wanderers
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 29.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 30.6% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Forge have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • HFX Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Forge - HFX Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.02)
    3.38
    (3.1)
    3.29
    (3.49)
    8.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Forge - HFX Wanderers?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Forge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forge won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forge - HFX Wanderers were as follows:
    03.05.2025 HFX Wanderers - Forge 0:0
    14.09.2024 HFX Wanderers - Forge 3:0
    14.08.2024 Forge - HFX Wanderers 2:0
    27.07.2024 Forge - HFX Wanderers 3:0
    15.06.2024 HFX Wanderers - Forge 2:2
    Latest results of Forge
    03.05.2025 HFX Wanderers - Forge 0:0
    27.04.2025 York United - Forge 2:2
    19.04.2025 Forge - Valour 1:1
    12.04.2025 Pacific FC - Forge 0:2
    05.04.2025 Forge - Cavalry 1:0
    Latest results of HFX Wanderers
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    2ValourTSS Rovers1 : 0
    3CavalryEdmonton Scottish6 : 0
    4Pacific FCVancouver FC1 : 2
    5York UtdFC Laval5 : 0
    6Atl. OttawaScrosoppi2 : 0
    7Toronto FCCF Montreal2 : 3
    8ForgeHFX Wanderers3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Vancouver WhitecapsValour
    2CavalryVancouver FC
    3York UtdAtl. Ottawa
    4CF MontrealForge
    Which TV channels are streaming of Forge - HFX Wanderers?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaOneSoccer
    puerto-ricoPuerto-ricoFox Sports 2
    usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com
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