Belenenses vs Fontinhas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Portuguese Liga 3 Belenenses - Fontinhas
11/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Belenenses - Fontinhas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Belenenses
58.3%
Draw
24.1%
Fontinhas
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 29.4% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 24.9% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.
  • Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fontinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Belenenses - Fontinhas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.85)
    3.8
    (3.1)
    5.18
    (4.26)
    9.3%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Fontinhas were as follows:
    28.10.2022 Fontinhas - Belenenses 1:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    29.01.2023 Belenenses - Leiria 1:2
    21.01.2023 Amora - Belenenses 2:1
    06.01.2023 Belenenses - Real SC 1:2
    Latest results of Fontinhas
    04.02.2023 Fontinhas - Real SC 0:1
    21.01.2023 Fontinhas - Alverca 1:1
    16.01.2023 Setúbal - Fontinhas 2:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense42207:168
    2Braga B42112:207
    3Varzim42117:347
    4Sanjoanense41304:226
    5AD Marco 0941301:016
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B41214:315
    7Amarante41123:4-14
    8Paredes40313:4-13
    9AD Fafe40222:8-62
    10Sao Joao Ver40222:8-62


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro42205:328
    2Caldas42115:507
    3Os Belenenses42114:5-17
    4Amora42114:137
    5Academica42026:426
    6Atletico CP42023:216
    7Mafra41213:5-25
    8Santarem41122:5-34
    9Lusitano GC41034:403
    10Covilha40222:4-22

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

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