Fluminense vs Sport Recife: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Sport Recife
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
Fluminense - Sport Recife - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.911.07
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
84% (455/541)75% (243/326)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.911.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.770.90
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1611
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3717
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
84% (455/541)75% (243/326)
Long passes
59% (34/58)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
75% (138/184)62% (48/78)
Crosses
38% (14/37)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.000.30
Throw-ins
2624
Fouls
1213
Tackles
67% (16/24)58% (14/24)
Duels won
6063
Clearances
3046
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.902.77
Goals prevented
-0.100.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Pablo , Lucas Lima (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Canobbio A. , Serna K. ,
  • 55', Hercules , Nonato ,
  • 55', PH Ganso , Lima ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Serna K. , Arias J. (A),
  • 64', Atencio R. 🟨,
  • 65', Atencio R. , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 65', Ze Lucas , Du Queiroz ,
  • 70', Martinelli , Lezcano R. ,
  • 77', Hereda 🟨,
  • 82', Lucas Lima 🟨,
  • 86', Pablo , Carlos Alberto ,
  • 86', Chrystian Barletta , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 88', Igor Carius , Dalbert ,
  • 90+3', Lima 🟨,
  • 90+5', Caique Franca 🟨,
  • 90+6', Carlos Alberto 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 1, Everaldo , Arias J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Sport Recife
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 25.3% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 24.8% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Fluminense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Fluminense - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.73)
    3.48
    (3.73)
    5.25
    (4.68)
    5.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Sport Recife?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Fluminense will win! (10 of 10 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
    • Recent performances by Fluminense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Recife is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Isaque Silva (Knee Injury) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Renato Augusto (Shoulder Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Recife: Rafael Thyere (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G. (Injury) Thiago Silva (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Dalbert (Calf Injury) Oliveira S. (Inactive) Pablo (Ankle Injury) Paciencia G. (Injury) Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras86119:3619
    2Flamengo RJ852117:41317
    3Bragantino852110:6417
    4Cruzeiro851213:7616
    5Ceara943211:7415
    6Fluminense841310:10013
    7Atletico-MG833210:10012
    8Bahia83327:8-112
    9Sao Paulo92618:7112
    10Botafogo RJ832310:5511
    11Vasco931510:11-110
    12Corinthians831411:14-310
    13Mirassol824213:11210
    14Fortaleza924310:8210
    15Internacional823310:12-29
    16Vitoria82339:11-29
    17Gremio92348:14-69
    18Juventude82157:20-137
    19Santos81257:10-35
    20Sport Recife90274:16-122

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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