Result
1:1
06/05/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (158/221) | 90% (553/615) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (158/221) | 90% (553/615) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 44% (12/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (45/76) | 83% (119/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Bottari T. 🟨,
- 38', Hercules 🟨,
- 45+1', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 🟨,
- 63', Nonato 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Arce A. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
- 69', Guga 🟨,
- 78', Nonato ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 78', Savarino J. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 78', Hercules ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 79', Arce A. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
- 80', Zubeldia L. 🟨,
- 82', Gomez L. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
- 82', Bonifacio E. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
- 82', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 86', Fernandez M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
- 86', Sartori F. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
39.8% | Draw
31.1% | Fluminense
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(3.01) |
3.05 ↓
(3.18) |
3.22 ↑
(2.43) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense?
- Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 15.4% – 84.6%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Independiente R is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fluminense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fluminense has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F.
(Red Card)
Cano G.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinelli
(Hamstring Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Independiente R won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Fluminense?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense were as follows:
15.04.2026
Fluminense
-
Independiente Rivadavia
1:2
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Fluminense
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Coquimbo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Platense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Penarol | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Junior | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 6 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 6, ESPN 7 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Globoplay, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 6, ESPN 7 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | ESPN 6, ESPN 7 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 6, ESPN 7 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 6, ESPN 7 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 6, ESPN 7, Inter |
