Fluminense vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ).

: FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.60
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
88% (378/430)	90% (454/502)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.41	1.59
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
7	8
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
7	12
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
17	27
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
88% (378/430)	90% (454/502)
Long passes
53% (16/30)	56% (18/32)
Passes in final third
78% (53/68)	75% (92/123)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	54% (7/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.99
Throw-ins
9	16
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
80% (16/20)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
47	47
Clearances
20	11
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.59	0.41
Goals prevented
-0.41	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Thiago Santos ↓, Keno ↑,
54', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
59', Nonato 🟨,
60', Joao Pedro ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
66', Nonato ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
68', Neto P. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
68', Gusto M. ↓, James R. ↑,
70', Bernal F. ↓, Lima ↑,
70', Hercules ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
72', Soteldo Y. 🟨,
73', Sanchez R. 🟨,
86', Nkunku C. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
86', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,

Chances of winning

Fluminense
16.5%

Draw
25.6%

Chelsea
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

25.2%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

24.2%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Fluminense - Chelsea Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (4.94)	3.74 ↓ (3.79)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)	4.6% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Fluminense - Chelsea?

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 9 - 13.6%). Chelsea will win (votes: 50 - 75.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 65.5% – 86.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Chelsea (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.75 - Chelsea (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 75%).

BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
In this match, Chelsea is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J. (Yellow Cards) Isaque Silva (Injury) Martinelli (Yellow Cards) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Injury)
There will not play in Chelsea: Castledine L. (Back Injury) Colwill L. (Yellow Cards) Delap L. (Yellow Cards) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Gittens J. (Inactive) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
There are questionable in Chelsea: Andrey Santos (Injury) Badiashile B. (Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury)
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Chelsea?

Fluminense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Fluminense?

Chelsea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Chelsea were as follows:

Latest results of Fluminense

04.07.2025 Fluminense - Al-Hilal 2:1 ✺

30.06.2025 Inter Milan - Fluminense 0:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Fluminense 0:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Fluminense - Ulsan HD 4:2 ✺

17.06.2025 Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Chelsea

04.07.2025 Palmeiras - Chelsea 1:2 ✺

28.06.2025 Benfica - Chelsea 1:4 ✺

24.06.2025 Espérance ST - Chelsea 0:3 ✺

20.06.2025 Flamengo - Chelsea 3:1 ✺

16.06.2025 Chelsea - Los Angeles 2:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Inter (E1)	Fluminense (F2)	0 : 2
2	Manchester City (G1)	Al Hilal (H2)	3 : 4
3	Palmeiras (A1)	Botafogo RJ (B2)	1 : 0
4	Benfica (C1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 4
5	PSG (B1)	Inter Miami (A2)	4 : 0
6	Flamengo RJ (D1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 4
7	Real Madrid (H1)	Juventus (G2)	1 : 0
8	Dortmund (F1)	Monterrey (E2)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Al Hilal (H2)	2 : 1
2	Palmeiras (A1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 2
3	PSG (B1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 0
4	Real Madrid (H1)	Dortmund (F1)	3 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Chelsea (D2)	0 : 2
2	PSG (B1)	Real Madrid (H1)	4 : 0

Final

1

Chelsea (D2)

PSG (B1)

Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Chelsea?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Ariana, Solh Sports 1
Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	BNT News App, DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BNT 1, DAZN, Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN, Win play, Win Sports
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Croatia	DAZN
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	ANT 1 Greece, DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, M4 Sport
India	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	DAZN
Iran	Persiana Sports
Ireland	Shabake 3
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Canale 5, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN, Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, SNT, Telefuturo, Tigo Sports+
Peru	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN, Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus, TeleCinco
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA, TNT, truTV
Uzbekistan	DAZN, Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24 Extra