Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (342/411) | 86% (397/462) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (342/411) | 86% (397/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (63/92) | 65% (56/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Cano G. ⚽,
- 39', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 39', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Savarino J. ↓, Artur ↑,
- 64', Ramos C. ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
- 64', Marcal ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 72', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
- 72', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 79', Canobbio A. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 79', Acosta L. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 82', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 82', Rodriguez S. ↓, Barria K. ↑,
- 87', Thiago Silva ↓, Ignacio ↑,
- 89', 2 - 0, Lima ⚽, Martinelli (A),
- 90+4', Matheus Martins 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
43.5% | Draw
30.6% | Botafogo RJ
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fluminense - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.4) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
3.7 ↑
(3.1) |
4.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fluminense could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Igor Rabello
(Red Card)
PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Allan
(Inactive)
Barboza A.
(Yellow Cards)
Barrera J.
(Inactive)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Correa J.
(Inactive)
Danilo
(Inactive)
Gonzalo Mastriani
(Inactive)
Kaio
(Red Card)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
Savarino J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Botafogo RJ?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Fluminense?
Botafogo RJ has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
26.04.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
2:0
29.01.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
2:1
21.09.2024
Fluminense
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
11.06.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
1:0
03.03.2024
Fluminense
-
Botafogo RJ
2:4
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 42:21 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 50:13 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40:20 | 20 | 52 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ceara | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Vasco | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
| 15 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25:38 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Botafogo RJ?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
