Result
1:0
28/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (363/426) | 83% (352/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (363/426) | 83% (352/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (70/97) | 60% (56/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Kayky ↓, Erick Pulga ↑,
- 54', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 57', Rene 🟨,
- 71', Cauly ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 71', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 75', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
- 77', Everaldo ↓, Cano G. ↑,
- 77', Serna K. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 77', Martinelli ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 0, Luciano Juba ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
- 90+5', Nonato ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 90+5', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Rezende ↑,
Chances of winning
Bahia
42.6% | Draw
31.9% | Fluminense
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bahia's form might have worsened.Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fluminense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fluminense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bahia - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.81) |
2.92 ↓
(3.4) |
3.64 ↓
(4.59) |
7.6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bahia - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Bahia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Bahia: Caio Alexandre
(Inactive)
Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Fred Lippert
(Injury)
Gilberto
(Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Ignacio
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Ademir
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Thiago Silva
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Fluminense?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Bahia?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Fluminense were as follows:
09.08.2025
Bahia
-
Fluminense
3:3
04.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Bahia
1:0
16.04.2024
Bahia
-
Fluminense
0:1
31.10.2023
Bahia
-
Fluminense
1:0
24.06.2023
Fluminense
-
Bahia
2:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Draw
20251/64-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | CRB | |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 7 | Inter de Limeira | Vila Nova FC | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Rio Branco-VN | Amazonas | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | Juventude | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Uniao Carmolandense | America RN | 4 : 2 |
| 11 | Tocantinopolis | Atletico-MG | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Independencia | Manaus | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Concordia | Ponte Preta | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | Botafogo PB | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 17 | Operario VG | Sport Recife | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Rio Branco ES | Novorizontino | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 21 | Sergipe | Ceara | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Parnahyba | Confianca | 0 : 5 |
| 24 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 25 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 27 | Maranhao | Vitoria | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Santa Cruz de Natal | Nautico | 0 : 4 |
| 29 | Trem | Brusque | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Olaria | ABC | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Pouso Alegre | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Guarany de Bage | AE Altos | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Tuna Luso | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0 |
| 34 | Boavista | CSA | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Sao Raimundo RR | Gremio | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Barcelona | Athletic Club | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Humaita | Operario-PR | 0 : 1 |
| 38 | CSE | Tombense | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Uniao Rondonopolis | Vasco | 0 : 3 |
| 40 | Barcelona RO | Nova Iguacu | 1 : 4 |
| 41 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 43 | Porto Velho | Cuiaba | 1 : 0 |
| 44 | Capital | Portuguesa RJ | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Operario MS | Criciuma | 0 : 1 |
| 46 | GAS | Remo | 0 : 4 |
| 47 | Sousa | Bragantino | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Oratorio | EC Sao Jose | 1 : 3 |
| 49 | Aguia De Maraba | Fluminense | 0 : 8 |
| 50 | Dourados | SER Caxias | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Cascavel | America MG | 1 : 0 |
| 52 | Votuporanguense | Aparecidense | 2 : 3 |
| 53 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 55 | Ceilandia | Coritiba | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Maracana | Ferroviario | 2 : 1 |
| 57 | ASA | Atletico GO | 1 : 2 |
| 58 | Jequie | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 61 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | CRB | |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | Rio Branco-VN | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Maringa FC | Uniao Carmolandense | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Manaus | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Concordia | Botafogo PB | 0 : 4 |
| 8 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 9 | Operario VG | Novorizontino | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 11 | Ceara | Confianca | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 14 | Vitoria | Nautico | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Brusque | Olaria | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Athletico-PR | Guarany de Bage | 3 : 1 |
| 17 | Tuna Luso | CSA | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Gremio | Athletic Club | 4 : 3 |
| 19 | Operario-PR | Tombense | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Vasco | Nova Iguacu | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 22 | Porto Velho | Capital | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | Criciuma | Remo | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bragantino | EC Sao Jose | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Fluminense | SER Caxias | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Cascavel | Aparecidense | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 28 | Ceilandia | Maracana | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Atletico GO | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 31 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Santos | CRB | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | Vila Nova FC | 3 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Maringa FC | Atletico-MG | 0 : 4, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Botafogo PB | Flamengo RJ | 2 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | Corinthians | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Ceara | Palmeiras | 0 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | Nautico | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Brusque | Athletico-PR | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | CSA | Gremio | 0 : 0, 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | Vasco | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | Capital | 0 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Criciuma | Bragantino | 0 : 6, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Fluminense | Aparecidense | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Internacional | Maracana | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Retro | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | Bahia | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | CRB | Cruzeiro | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Palmeiras | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | CSA | Vasco | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | Bragantino | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fluminense | Internacional | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Retro | Bahia | 0 : 0, 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cruzeiro | Atletico-MG | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Athletico-PR | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Vasco | Botafogo RJ | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Fluminense | Bahia | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
Which TV channels are streaming of Bahia - Fluminense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
