Fluminense vs Bahia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Bahia
Result
1:0
04/08/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 21
Fluminense - Bahia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.40
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1212
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
57
Blocked Shots
12
Free Kicks
1012
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
20
Throw-ins
1813
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Fouls
1210
Yellow Cards
32
Total Passes
522508
Completed Passes
451467
Attacks
111111
Dangerous Attacks
6033

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Diogo Barbosa 🟨,
  • 36', Thiago Santos 🟨,
  • 38', Gilberto , Arias S. ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Kaua Elias , Samuel Xavier (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Thiago Santos , Antonio Carlos ,
  • 63', Silva T. 🟨,
  • 63', Everaldo , Thaciano ,
  • 63', Rodriguez L. , Cauly ,
  • 71', Kaua Elias , Keno ,
  • 71', Martinelli , Alexsander ,
  • 76', Serna K. , Lima ,
  • 76', Caio Alexandre , de Pena C. ,
  • 76', Biel , Rafael Ratao ,
  • 83', PH Ganso , John Kennedy ,
  • 84', de Pena C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cauly 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fluminense
44.9%
Draw
28.6%
Bahia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 28.9% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 29.1% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Fluminense - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.34)
    3.32
    (3.28)
    3.57
    (3.08)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2.
    • Fluminense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bahia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fluminense have a series of guest games.
    • Fluminense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: David Terans (Injury) Felipe Melo (Injury) Isaac (Injury) Lele (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Nicolas Acevedo (Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Bahia were as follows:
    16.04.2024 Bahia - Fluminense 0:1
    31.10.2023 Bahia - Fluminense 1:0
    24.06.2023 Fluminense - Bahia 2:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    01.08.2024 Juventude - Fluminense 3:2
    24.07.2024 Fluminense - Palmeiras 1:0
    21.07.2024 Cuiabá - Fluminense 0:1
    11.07.2024 Criciúma - Fluminense 1:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    30.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 1:1
    27.07.2024 Bahia - Internacional RS 1:1
    21.07.2024 Bahia - Corinthians 0:1
    13.07.2024 Bahia - Cuiabá 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1172217:8923
    3Bragantino1172214:8623
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Fluminense1162315:12320
    6Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    7Bahia1153311:11018
    8Mirassol1145217:12517
    9Atletico-MG1145211:10117
    10Ceara1143413:11215
    11Corinthians1143412:14-215
    12Gremio1143411:14-315
    13Sao Paulo112639:11-212
    14Internacional1125412:16-411
    15Vasco1131711:15-410
    16Vitoria1124510:14-410
    17Fortaleza1124510:15-510
    18Santos112278:12-48
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Bahia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chileChileMEGOGO
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 1
    peruPeruL1 Play
    worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, Fanatiz
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