Pärnu Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Estonian Meistriliiga Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn
Result
0:3
02/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Meistriliiga - Round 11
  • Referee: Kaivoja K. (Est)
Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Corner Kicks
412
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
412
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Sappinen R. , Kolobov M. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Tougjas E. , Zenjov S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', Kalmokov N. , Lukka M. ,
  • 65', Alliku R. , Kuraksin D. ,
  • 65', Zenjov S. , Poom M. ,
  • 70', 0 - 3, Kalimullin M. , Hussar K. (A),
  • 71', Veensalu E. , Limberg M. ,
  • 71', Poder J. , Madissoo R. ,
  • 71', Vallik V. , Kauber K. ,
  • 76', Tougjas E. , Veering R. ,
  • 80', Kalimullin M. , Alamaa S. ,
  • 84', Lipp M. , Aer S. ,
  • 84', Pajo T. , Orm R. ,
  • 90', Madissoo R. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pärnu Vaprus
11.5%
Draw
19.6%
Flora Tallinn
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.5% 21.1% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2% 20.7% 62.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Vaprus's form might have worsened.
  • Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flora Tallinn's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flora Tallinn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8
    (5.31)
    4.68
    (4.4)
    1.34
    (1.51)
    8.7%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 2.
    • Pärnu Vaprus is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Flora is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Flora is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 8:60. (average 0.4:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 3:40. (average 0.3:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus 0:1
    29.09.2024 Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus 3:0
    23.08.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn 0:1
    11.05.2024 Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus 0:1
    14.04.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn 1:3
    Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
    Latest results of Flora Tallinn
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flora1282228:91926
    2Levadia1181229:92025
    3Paide1171318:71122
    4Kalju1171325:141122
    5Narva1161417:11619
    6Harju JK Laagri1241714:25-1113
    7Parnu JK Vaprus1132612:15-311
    8Kuressaare1131710:20-1010
    9Tammeka1121810:28-187
    10Tallinna Kalev1121810:35-257

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Meistriliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn?
    It is being streamed on channel
    estoniaEstoniaSoccernet TV
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