Fleury-Merogis vs Caen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French National League Fleury-Merogis - Caen
Result
1:2
29/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : National - Round 4
Fleury-Merogis - Caen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Vinicius Gomes , Bagbema Z. ,
  • 28', Bagbema Z. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Bagbema Z. , Henry V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 2, Botella I. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Badin C. , Le Mehaute Y. (A),
  • 63', Diakite A. , Gnanduillet A. ,
  • 66', Lavigne V. , Homssa N. ,
  • 66', Farade K. , Belliard M. ,
  • 66', Badin C. , Sylla S. ,
  • 67', Etuin M. 🟨,
  • 74', Debohi D. 🟨,
  • 76', Hafid M. , Noireau-Dauriat S. ,
  • 80', Colombo F. 🟨,
  • 85', Colombo F. , Aubourg H. ,
  • 85', Lefebvre G. , Bovis E. ,
  • 86', Le Mehaute Y. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Henry V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fleury-Merogis
37.5%
Draw
29.8%
Caen
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 28% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 27.2% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleury-Merogis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fleury-Merogis's form might have worsened.
  • Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleury-Merogis than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleury-Merogis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Fleury-Merogis - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.1)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    2.8
    (3.05)
    9.4%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fleury-Merogis - Caen?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fleury-Merogis will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Caen will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Fleury-Merogis have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Caen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Fleury-Merogis
    Latest results of Caen
    22.08.2025 Caen - Versailles 0:2
    15.08.2025 Quevilly - Caen 1:1
    08.08.2025 Caen - Aubagne 3:0
    01.08.2025 Le Mans - Caen 2:0
    19.07.2025 Caen - Angers 0:1
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sochaux43019:369
    2Versailles33005:149
    3Dijon42207:438
    4Rouen42207:438
    5Caen42116:427
    6Paris 13 Atl42025:6-16
    7Orleans42024:8-46
    8Concarneau31203:125
    9Fleury-Merogis41125:414
    10Valenciennes41125:6-14
    11Aubagne31114:5-14
    12Villefranche31113:4-14
    13Chateauroux40314:5-13
    14Le Puy-en-Velay40224:6-22
    15Bourg en Bresse30213:5-22
    16Quevilly Rouen30122:4-21
    17Stade Briochin40131:7-61

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation

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