Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Wham Stadium (Accrington).

: League Two - Round 40
Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.77	0.90
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
63% (182/290)	72% (253/353)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77	0.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.80	1.29
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
10	18
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
63% (182/290)	72% (253/353)
Long passes
32% (21/65)	40% (38/94)
Passes in final third
49% (46/93)	49% (52/107)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	0.90
Fouls
14	9
Tackles
70% (7/10)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
51	76
Clearances Total
33	45
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.29	0.80
Goals prevented
-1.71	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Helm M. ⚽,
17', Matthews D. ↓, Quirk S. ↑,
27', Wiredu B. 🟨,
31', Marsh L. 🟨,
39', Grant C. 🟨,
45+3', Ward B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', O'Brien C. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
46', O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↓, Whalley S. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Woods B. ⚽,
62', Marsh L. ↓, Potter F. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Patterson P. ⚽,
83', Patterson P. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
83', Wiredu B. ↓, Morrison G. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Grant C. (Own goal),
86', Mooney K. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
86', Grant C. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
90', 1 - 4, Hunt M. ⚽,
90+2', Helm M. ↓, Cross-Adair F. ↑,
90+2', Batty J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Accrington Stanley
34.5%

Draw
30.7%

Fleetwood Town
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.4%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.58)	3.07 ↓ (3.35)	2.71 ↑ (2.47)	6.2% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 40% – 93.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Accrington won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.6:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.7:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Fleetwood Town?

Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Accrington Stanley?

Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town were as follows:

16.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 1:1

15.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town 2:5

29.10.2022 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 3:0

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

29.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Bradford City 0:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 5:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Barrow - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

29.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 2:4 ✺

22.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Tranmere Rovers 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Colchester United - Fleetwood Town 3:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town 1:4 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Crewe	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
2	Fleetwood	2	2	0	0	4:1	3	6
3	Chesterfield	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Tranmere	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4
5	Grimsby	2	1	1	0	6:3	3	4
6	MK Dons	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
7	Bromley	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
8	Harrogate	2	1	1	0	4:3	1	4
9	Newport	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Gillingham	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
11	Swindon	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
12	Cambridge Utd	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
13	Walsall	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
14	Salford	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
15	Colchester	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
16	Oldham	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
17	Notts Co	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
18	Accrington	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
19	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	0:4	-4	1
20	Bristol Rovers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
21	Cheltenham	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
22	Barrow	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
23	Crawley	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
24	Barnet	2	0	0	2	0:4	-4	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+