Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stanley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley
Result
2:2
02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.20
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
415
Passes
78% (269/346)80% (320/399)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.242.70
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
07
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
415
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
78% (269/346)80% (320/399)
Long passes
48% (29/60)32% (19/60)
Passes in final third
61% (58/95)70% (97/138)
Crosses
22% (5/23)8% (2/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.73
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1216
Tackles
75% (9/12)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5754
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.701.24
Goals prevented
0.70-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Heath I. , Pye L. (A),
  • 9', Mooney K. (Pen),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Henderson A. , Heath I. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 2, Norwood J. , Evans C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bonds E. , Helm M. ,
  • 47', Smith J. 🟨,
  • 55', Norwood J. 🟨,
  • 60', Potter F. , Medley Z. ,
  • 60', McCann L. , Davies J. ,
  • 73', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 2, Ennis E. ,
  • 76', Kelly M. 🟨,
  • 76', Henderson A. , Sinclair I. ,
  • 76', Pye L. , Caton C. ,
  • 77', Evans C. , Devonport O. ,
  • 78', Sinclair I. 🟨,
  • 82', Matthews D. , Tunstall F. ,
  • 87', Mooney K. , Madden P. ,
  • 88', Martin D. , Popoola A. ,
  • 90+5', Davies J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Morrison G. , Davies W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fleetwood Town
38%
Draw
28.9%
Accrington Stanley
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 27.2% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 26.6% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fleetwood Town's form might have worsened.
  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Accrington Stanley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (1.9)
    3.37
    (3.39)
    2.93
    (3.76)
    2.6%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Fleetwood Town will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Fleetwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fleetwood is the team to beat.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town 1:4
    16.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 1:1
    15.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town 2:5
    29.10.2022 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 3:0
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

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