Cruzeiro vs Flamengo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Flamengo
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
Cruzeiro - Flamengo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.18
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
81% (278/344)87% (446/514)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.42
Total shots
176
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
918
Passes
81% (278/344)87% (446/514)
Long passes
30% (13/43)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
70% (75/107)77% (95/124)
Crosses
30% (7/23)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.83
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
189
Tackles
70% (16/23)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
2714
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
39
xGOT faced
0.421.81
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge , Romero L. (A),
  • 39', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. , Gerson (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Everton , Bruno Henrique ,
  • 61', Christian 🟨,
  • 67', Pedro , Michael ,
  • 74', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
  • 82', Lucas Silva 🟨,
  • 83', Wesley Franca , Varela G. ,
  • 83', Gerson , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 83', de Arrascaeta G. , Juninho ,
  • 88', Matheus Pereira , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 88', Wanderson , Eduardo ,
  • 90+2', Villalba L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kaio Jorge , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 90+6', Gabriel Barbosa (Pen),
  • 90+7', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
21.6%
Draw
28.2%
Flamengo
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 27.7% 48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 27.7% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Cruzeiro - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.39
    (3.9)
    3.38
    (3.41)
    1.89
    (1.96)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Flamengo?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
    • Recent performances by Cruzeiro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Flamengo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Hamstring Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa (Thigh Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Flamengo were as follows:
    06.11.2024 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 0:1
    30.06.2024 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 2:1
    19.10.2023 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 0:2
    27.05.2023 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 1:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    27.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    24.04.2025 Palestino - Cruzeiro 2:1
    17.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 3:0
    Latest results of Flamengo
    01.05.2025 Botafogo PB - Flamengo 0:1
    27.04.2025 Flamengo - Corinthians 4:0
    22.04.2025 LDU Quito - Flamengo 0:0
    19.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:0
    16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras86119:3619
    2Flamengo RJ852117:41317
    3Bragantino852110:6417
    4Cruzeiro851213:7616
    5Fluminense841310:10013
    6Ceara83329:7212
    7Atletico-MG833210:10012
    8Bahia83327:8-112
    9Botafogo RJ832310:5511
    10Corinthians831411:14-310
    11Fortaleza824210:5510
    12Mirassol824213:11210
    13Internacional823310:12-29
    14Vitoria82339:11-29
    15Gremio82337:12-59
    16Sao Paulo81616:609
    17Vasco82157:11-47
    18Juventude82157:20-137
    19Santos81257:10-35
    20Sport Recife80264:14-102

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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