Ceará vs Flamengo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Ceará - Flamengo
Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 18
Ceará - Flamengo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.25
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
76% (208/273)88% (551/623)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.57
Total shots
914
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1116
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
76% (208/273)88% (551/623)
Long passes
56% (32/57)52% (24/46)
Passes in final third
49% (33/68)75% (112/149)
Crosses
25% (4/16)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.73
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1412
Tackles
64% (9/14)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4151
Clearances
2421
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.571.66
Goals prevented
0.200.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Marllon 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. , Plata G. (A),
  • 40', Richardson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', de Arrascaeta G. , Niguez S. ,
  • 46', Pedro Henrique , Aylon ,
  • 46', Lourenco , Lucas Mugni ,
  • 55', Richardson , Fernando Sobral ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul , Lucas Mugni (A),
  • 72', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 75', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
  • 76', Jorginho , Allan ,
  • 76', Bruno Henrique , Juninho ,
  • 83', Matheus Bahia , Nicolas ,
  • 85', Plata G. , Victor Hugo ,
  • 85', Emerson Royal , Varela G. ,
  • 87', Diego , Lucas Lima ,
  • 90+4', Fernando Sobral 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceará
20.9%
Draw
29.2%
Flamengo
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 28.9% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 28.7% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Ceará - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.55
    (3.79)
    3.24
    (3.27)
    1.91
    (2.05)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ceará - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Flamengo will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 63.4%93.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Ceará (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo (Thigh Injury) Michael (Ankle Injury) Pedro (Yellow Cards) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury) Wallace Yan (Yellow Cards) de la Cruz N. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Vina M. (Rest)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Flamengo were as follows:
    04.09.2022 Flamengo - Ceará 1:1
    Latest results of Ceará
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    23.07.2025 Ceará - Mirassol 0:2
    20.07.2025 Internacional RS - Ceará 1:0
    16.07.2025 Ceará - Corinthians 0:1
    13.07.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0
    16.07.2025 Santos - Flamengo 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ18124233:82540
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1786323:16730
    5Botafogo RJ1785423:101329
    6Mirassol1777328:181028
    7Sao Paulo1977522:20228
    8Bragantino1983822:25-327
    9Fluminense1773721:23-224
    10Internacional1866621:23-224
    11Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    12Ceara1764717:17022
    13Corinthians1857617:21-422
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Santos1753918:22-418
    16Vitoria1939716:22-618
    17Vasco1643918:23-515
    18Fortaleza1836918:29-1115
    19Juventude16321111:35-2411
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ceará - Flamengo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilCaze TV, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, TV Record
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    israelIsraelSport 3, Sport 4
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos
    usaUsaFanatiz
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