Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 18
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.61 | 1.25 |
Ball Possession |
---|
31% | 69% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
76% (208/273) | 88% (551/623) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.61 | 1.25 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.66 | 1.57 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
76% (208/273) | 88% (551/623) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (32/57) | 52% (24/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
49% (33/68) | 75% (112/149) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (4/16) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.36 | 0.73 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (9/14) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.57 | 1.66 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.20 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Marllon 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Plata G. (A),
- 40', Richardson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 46', Pedro Henrique ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 46', Lourenco ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 55', Richardson ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A),
- 72', Jorginho 🟨,
- 75', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
- 76', Jorginho ↓, Allan ↑,
- 76', Bruno Henrique ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 83', Matheus Bahia ↓, Nicolas ↑,
- 85', Plata G. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
- 85', Emerson Royal ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 87', Diego ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 90+4', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ceará 20.9% | Draw 29.2% | Flamengo 49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Ceará - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.55 ↑ (3.79) |
3.24 ↓ (3.27) |
1.91 ↓ (2.05) |
5.3% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Flamengo will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 63.4% – 93.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Ceará (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo
(Thigh Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
Pedro
(Yellow Cards)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
Wallace Yan
(Yellow Cards)
de la Cruz N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Vina M.
(Rest)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Flamengo?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Ceará?
Flamengo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Flamengo were as follows:
04.09.2022
Flamengo
-
Ceará
1:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
11 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Santos | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18:22 | -4 | 18 |
16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
17 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
19 | Juventude | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11:35 | -24 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Ceará - Flamengo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Caze TV, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, TV Record |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Israel | Sport 3, Sport 4 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos |
Usa | Fanatiz |