Atlético Mineiro vs Flamengo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa do Brasil Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo
Result
1:1 penalties
06/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals
Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.082.26
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
85% (335/396)86% (381/444)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.082.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.141.05
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2428
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
85% (335/396)86% (381/444)
Long passes
58% (35/60)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
74% (73/99)73% (91/124)
Crosses
14% (2/14)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.48
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1312
Tackles
50% (4/8)47% (7/15)
Duels won
2940
Clearances
2410
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.051.14
Goals prevented
0.051.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Everton , Plata G. (A),
  • 30', Lyanco 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Natanael , Renzo Saravia ,
  • 47', Pedro 🟨,
  • 58', Everton , Samuel Lino ,
  • 63', Gabriel Menino , Igor Gomes ,
  • 65', Cuello 🟨,
  • 65', Plata G. , Niguez S. ,
  • 65', Pedro , de Arrascaeta G. ,
  • 70', Rony , Biel ,
  • 74', Guilherme Arana , Dudu ,
  • 75', Cuello , Alexsander ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, de Arrascaeta G. (Pen),
  • 1, Hulk (Pen),
  • 2, Jorginho (Pen),
  • 2, Gustavo Scarpa (Pen),
  • 3, Niguez S. (Pen),
  • 3, Alonso J. (Pen),
  • 4, Samuel Lino (Pen),
  • 4, Igor Gomes (Pen),
  • 5, Wallace Yan (Pen),
  • 5, Everson (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
27.6%
Draw
31.7%
Flamengo
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 32.3% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 33.7% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (3.1)
    2.93
    (2.92)
    2.29
    (2.54)
    7.5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Flamengo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
    • Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Flamengo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Guilherme Arana (Muscle Injury) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo (Thigh Injury) Everton (Muscle Injury) Luiz Araujo (Injury) Matheus Cunha (Knee Injury) Michael (Ankle Injury) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Renzo Saravia (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Emerson Royal (Injury) de la Cruz N. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo were as follows:
    31.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 0:1
    27.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 1:0
    13.11.2024 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 0:0
    10.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo 0:1
    03.11.2024 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 3:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of Flamengo
    03.08.2025 Ceará - Flamengo 1:1
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Sao PauloBye
    3MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    4Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    5TremBrusque0 : 2
    6OlariaABC1 : 0
    7Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    8Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    18JequieRetro1 : 2
    20ByeFortaleza
    21Paysandu PABye
    24ByeBahia
    25Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    26DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    27CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    28VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    29InternacionalBye
    31CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    32MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    33SantosBye
    36ByeCRB
    37CruzeiroBye
    39Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    40Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    41Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    42BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    43Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    44BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    45HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    46CSETombense1 : 3
    47Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    48Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    49Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    50Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    52ByeCorinthians
    53SergipeCeara0 : 2
    54ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    56ByePalmeiras
    57Botafogo RJBye
    59Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    60CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    61Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    62GASRemo0 : 4
    63SousaBragantino1 : 2
    64OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sao PauloBye
    2VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    3BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    4Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    10ByeFortaleza
    11Paysandu PABye
    12ByeBahia
    13FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    14CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    15InternacionalBye
    16CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    17SantosBye
    18ByeCRB
    19CruzeiroBye
    20Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    21Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    22GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    23Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    24VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    25Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    26ByeCorinthians
    27CearaConfianca3 : 2
    28ByePalmeiras
    29Botafogo RJBye
    30Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    31CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    32BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    2BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    6Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1
    7FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    8InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    9SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    10CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    11CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    12Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    13NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    15Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    16CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3
    4FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    5CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    7CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
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