Inter Milan vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Women Inter Milan - Fiorentina
Result
1:3
03/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Women - Championship Group - Round 9
  • Referee: Migliorini A. (Ita)
Inter Milan - Fiorentina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.18
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1918
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
83% (406/488)80% (288/359)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.70
Total shots
1918
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
710
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
89
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
3731
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
139
Passes
83% (406/488)80% (288/359)
Long passes
54% (22/41)42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
71% (113/159)76% (82/108)
Crosses
39% (9/23)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.99
Throw-ins
1624
Fouls
913
Tackles
90% (19/21)50% (11/22)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1327
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
1.700.94
Goals prevented
-1.59-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Santi I. , Pavan M. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Boquete V. , Bonfantini A. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Snerle E. , Bonfantini A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Robustellini C. , Merlo B. ,
  • 52', Milinkovic M. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 3, Boquete V. , Severini E. (A),
  • 57', Detruyer M. , Polli E. ,
  • 58', Santi I. , Csiszar H. ,
  • 64', Janogy M. , Curmark F. ,
  • 66', Bonfantini A. 🟨,
  • 70', Bonfantini A. 🟨,
  • 73', Pavan M. , Tomaselli M. ,
  • 73', Bartoli E. , Serturini A. ,
  • 76', Bredgaard S. , Georgieva M. ,
  • 76', Catena M. , Pastrenge L. ,
  • 87', Boquete V. , DellaPeruta V. ,
  • 90', Curmark F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
43.5%
Draw
25.7%
Fiorentina
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 23.6% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 22.6% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Inter Milan - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.66)
    3.61
    (3.87)
    3.01
    (4.31)
    7.8%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Fiorentina?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Inter Milan is Qualified for Champions League Women (Group Stage )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Milan won 2.
    • Inter Milan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fiorentina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Inter Milan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Inter Milan is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter Milan won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Milan won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Fiorentina were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 1:0
    01.02.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:0
    03.11.2024 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 2:1
    01.05.2024 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:2
    24.03.2024 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 0:3
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    25.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:4
    19.04.2025 Inter Milan - Roma 3:0
    30.03.2025 Inter Milan - Juventus 3:2
    23.03.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 1:0
    16.03.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 2:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    25.04.2025 Fiorentina - Juventus 3:1
    12.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 5:3
    29.03.2025 Roma - Fiorentina 2:0
    23.03.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 1:0
    15.03.2025 Juventus - Fiorentina 0:2
    Italian Serie A Women Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventus W ✔ 26174564:313355
    2Inter W ✔ 26156550:262451
    3AS Roma W ✔ 26136749:361345
    4Fiorentina W26125936:34241
    5AC Milan W2698942:46-435

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Group Stage: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Juventus W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (Group Stage )
    Inter W is Qualified for Champions League Women (Group Stage )
    AS Roma W is Qualified for Champions League Women (Group Stage )
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