Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 1
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/357) | 83% (365/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/357) | 83% (365/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (28/43) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (67/90) | 55% (51/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Obert A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Borrelli G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ranieri L. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
- 46', Ndour C. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
- 61', Esposito Se. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
- 61', Prati M. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
- 62', Comuzzo P. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Mandragora R. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
- 71', Pongracic M. 🟨,
- 72', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
- 75', Obert A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 75', Deiola A. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
- 77', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
- 79', Mari P. 🟨,
- 81', Borrelli G. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
- 82', Mazzitelli L. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Luperto S. ⚽, Gaetano G. (A),
- 90+7', Kilicsoy S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cagliari
30.6% | Draw
30.6% | Fiorentina
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Cagliari - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(3.13) |
3.13 ↓
(3.38) |
2.44 ↑
(2.34) |
5.1%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cagliari - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 59.7% – 87.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
- Fiorentina could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cagliari: Pavoletti L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Barak A.
(Injury)
Kouame C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cagliari: Gaetano G.
(Inactive)
Pintus N.
(Injury)
Radunovic B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Fiorentina?
Cagliari has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Cagliari?
Fiorentina has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Fiorentina were as follows:
23.04.2025
Cagliari
-
Fiorentina
1:2
08.12.2024
Fiorentina
-
Cagliari
1:0
23.05.2024
Cagliari
-
Fiorentina
2:3
02.10.2023
Fiorentina
-
Cagliari
3:0
Latest results of Cagliari
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Juventus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Udinese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Lazio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Verona | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Pisa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Lecce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
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