Result
1:2
23/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 33
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (283/355) | 84% (350/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (283/355) | 84% (350/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 62% (44/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (58/100) | 56% (37/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/31) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Piccoli R. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, Gosens R. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
- 41', Mina Y. ↓, Palomino J. L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 2, Beltran L. ⚽, Dodo (A),
- 59', Viola N. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
- 62', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
- 63', Fagioli N. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
- 65', Palomino J. L. 🟨,
- 67', Prati M. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
- 67', Adopo M. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 67', Zortea N. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
- 79', Piccoli R. 🟨,
- 81', Ranieri L. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
- 81', Mandragora R. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
- 84', Parisi F. 🟨,
- 86', Beltran L. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
- 90+6', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cagliari
31.6% | Draw
31% | Fiorentina
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Cagliari - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(3.29) |
3.09 ↓
(3.2) |
2.55 ↑
(2.34) |
4.7%
(4.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cagliari - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 18.1% – 56.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Fiorentina (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 0.
- Recent matches Cagliari is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Fiorentina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Cagliari: Deiola A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
- There are questionable in Cagliari: Jankto J.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Colpani A.
(Foot Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Fiorentina?
Cagliari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Cagliari?
Fiorentina has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Fiorentina were as follows:
08.12.2024
Fiorentina
-
Cagliari
1:0
23.05.2024
Cagliari
-
Fiorentina
2:3
02.10.2023
Fiorentina
-
Cagliari
3:0
Latest results of Cagliari
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
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