Finn Harps vs Dundalk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Division 1 Finn Harps - Dundalk
Result
1:0
23/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 20
Finn Harps - Dundalk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
311
Shots on target
15
Corner Kicks
211
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
311
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
211
Goalkeeper Saves
50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Lomboto G. 🟨,
  • 32', Jordan K. 🟨,
  • 43', Place M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Leonard V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Dervin A. , Tracey S. ,
  • 49', Thompson J. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Lomboto G. (Pen),
  • 65', Paraschiv A. , Ward K. ,
  • 65', Mulligan L. , Ebbe D. ,
  • 75', Jordan K. , McAteer G. ,
  • 88', Gaxha L. , McHale S. ,
  • 90+6', Tracey S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Finn Harps
15.2%
Draw
21%
Dundalk
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12% 17.9% 70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6% 17.3% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dundalk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dundalk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Finn Harps - Dundalk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.08
    (7.72)
    4.38
    (5.16)
    1.45
    (1.32)
    8.5%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Finn Harps - Dundalk?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Finn Harps will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Dundalk will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dundalk: 71.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 0.
    • Recent form of Finn Harps has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Dundalk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Dundalk is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:40. (average 0.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Finn Harps won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Finn Harps - Dundalk were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Dundalk - Finn Harps 1:1
    21.02.2025 Finn Harps - Dundalk 0:1
    20.01.2023 Dundalk - Finn Harps 0:0
    14.10.2022 Finn Harps - Dundalk 1:2
    Latest results of Finn Harps
    Latest results of Dundalk
    20.06.2025 Dundalk - Treaty United 1:1
    30.05.2025 Wexford - Dundalk 2:3
    23.05.2025 Dundalk - Kerry 2:0
    16.05.2025 Cobh Ramblers - Dundalk 1:2
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dundalk22147136:142249
    2Cobh Ramblers22143538:201845
    3Bray22131837:29840
    4Treaty United2286834:221230
    5UC Dublin2286821:22-130
    6Wexford22751026:30-426
    7Finn Harps2158823:26-323
    8Longford22571019:38-1922
    9Kerry21631223:35-1221
    10Athlone22361316:37-2115

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