Finland vs Albania, UEFA Nations League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Nations League Finland - Albania
Result
2:1
03/10/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 3
  • Referee: Hennessy R. (Irl)
Finland - Albania - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.520.95
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
35
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
76
Passes
90% (541/603)85% (335/396)
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.520.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.361.60
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
311
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1013
Passes
90% (541/603)85% (335/396)
Long passes
36% (10/28)53% (34/64)
Passes in final third
82% (153/186)77% (51/66)
Crosses
17% (5/29)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.49
Throw ins
1614
Fouls
1310
Tackles
50% (7/14)71% (5/7)
Duels won
3334
Clearances
2036
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.600.36
Goals prevented
0.60-1.64
Goal kicks
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Manaj R. ⚽, Asllani K. (A),
  • 22', Berisha E. 🟥,
  • 25', Hoxha A. ↓, Sherri A. ↑,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Walta L. ⚽,
  • 26', Sherri A. 🟨,
  • 40', Kairinen K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kairinen K. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
  • 46', Manaj R. ↓, Daku M. ↑,
  • 62', Hakans D. ↓, Jukkola O. ↑,
  • 62', Miettinen T. ↓, Vaisanen L. ↑,
  • 65', Muci E. ↓, Uzuni M. ↑,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Walta L. ⚽,
  • 74', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
  • 77', Pilo S. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
  • 77', Asllani K. ↓, Shehu J. ↑,
  • 80', Uzuni M. 🟨,
  • 81', Maran R. 🟨,
  • 82', Walta L. ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
  • 89', Markhiev A. ↓, Peltola M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Finland
38.7%
Draw
32.1%
Albania
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 28.6% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Albania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Finland - Albania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44 ↑
    (2.2)
    2.95 ↓
    (3.27)
    3.23 ↓
    (3.25)
    5.9%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Finland - Albania?
    • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Albania will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 33.2% – 76.8%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.5 - under (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Finland is ranked FIFA: 75., and Albania is ranked FIFA: 67..
    • The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
    • These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
    Latest results of Finland
    29.09.2026 Finland - Belarus 0:0 ✺
    26.09.2026 San Marino - Finland 0:7 ✺
    05.06.2026 Hungary - Finland 2:1 ✺
    31.05.2026 Germany - Finland 4:0 ✺
    29.03.2026 Cape Verde - Finland 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Albania
    29.09.2026 San Marino - Albania 0:3 ✺
    26.09.2026 Albania - Belarus 2:0 ✺
    06.06.2026 Albania - Luxembourg 0:1 ✺
    03.06.2026 Albania - Israel 0:1 ✺
    31.03.2026 Ukraine - Albania 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Nations League Table
    League A

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France43107:2510
    2Italy42118:537
    3Belgium42026:516
    4Turkey40042:11-90


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Netherlands42207:528
    2Greece42205:328
    3Germany41213:215
    4Serbia40043:8-50


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain ✔ 440012:5712
    2England430114:3119
    3Croatia41034:14-103
    4Czech Republic40042:10-80


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal ✔ 44009:4512
    2Denmark42027:706
    3Wales41032:5-33
    4Norway41036:8-23

          Promotion ~ UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          UEFA Nations League (Relegation ~ League A/B: )
          Relegation ~ UEFA Nations League (League B: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Spain is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Portugal is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Finland - Albania?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaKlani IM, SuperSport 2, TV Klan
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
    croatiaCroatiaMAXtv To Go, SportKlub 5
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
    ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
    estoniaEstoniaGo3 Extra Sports
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandYLE TV2
    franceFranceNew World TV
    germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaGTV, K-Vision
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalySky Sport 256
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    lithuaniaLithuaniaGo3 Extra Sports
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    paraguayParaguayESPN 2
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
    russiaRussiaOkko Prime, Okko Sport
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2
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