Fijian Drua vs Waratahs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union Super Rugby Fijian Drua - Waratahs
Result
35:50
16/05/2026 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Rugby - Round 14
  • Referee: Doleman J. (Nzl)
Fijian Drua - Waratahs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
58
Conversion goals
55
Conversion goal attempts
58
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
10063
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
112109
Metres run with ball
398444
Yellow cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 36)
  • 5', Potter H. (Try),
  • 7', Reilly T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 12', Moananu I. (Try),
  • 13', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 18', Jorgensen M. (Try),
  • 19', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Doge M. (Try),
  • 22', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Harvey S. (Try),
  • 25', Harvey S. (Missed Conversion),
  • 28', Wilson T. (Try),
  • 28', Harvey S. (Missed Conversion),
  • 33', Rabitu I. 🟨,
  • 35', Scott-Young A. (Try),
  • 36', Bowen J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (28 - 14)
  • 41', Ravai P. , Tuqiri E. ,
  • 41', Doge M. , Tawake S. ,
  • 41', Togiatama Z. , Tagivetaua K. ,
  • 41', Waqa E. , Miramira V. ,
  • 43', Moananu I. (Try),
  • 44', Bowen J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 44', Tuqiri E. , Ravai P. ,
  • 45', Armstrong-Ravula I. , Valetini K. ,
  • 45', Canakaivata E. (Try),
  • 46', Valetini K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 50', Botha D. , Ranawai A. ,
  • 53', Salawa K. (Try),
  • 53', Valetini K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 53', Barrett J. , Kailea I. ,
  • 54', Gamble C. , Adamson J. ,
  • 56', Nasilasila I. , Vocevoce M. ,
  • 60', Wilson T. , McDonald M. ,
  • 61', Ranawai A. (Try),
  • 62', Bowen J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Lomani F. , Baselala P. ,
  • 63', Moananu I. , Finau O. ,
  • 63', Amatosero M. , Grant B. ,
  • 65', Canakaivata E. , Tuwai I. ,
  • 65', Creighton L. , Poolman G. ,
  • 65', Bowen J. , Debreczeni J. ,
  • 69', Samusamuvodre T. (Try),
  • 69', Valetini K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Mayanavanua T. (Try),
  • 80', Valetini K. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Fijian Drua
71.4%
Draw
3.7%
Waratahs
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 3.7% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 3.7% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fijian Drua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fijian Drua's performance.
  • Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waratahs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fijian Drua than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fijian Drua that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waratahs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fijian Drua - Waratahs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.56)
    24.44
    (25)
    3.7
    (2.45)
    8.8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
    What is the prediction for Fijian Drua - Waratahs?
    • Users Predictions: Fijian Drua will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 31:21.
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 2.
    • Recent performances by Fijian Drua have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Waratahs is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Waratahs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fijian Drua is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 163:271. (average 20.4:33.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fijian Drua won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 98:134. (average 24.5:33.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fijian Drua - Waratahs were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Waratahs - Fijian Drua 36:13
    18.04.2025 Fijian Drua - Waratahs 28:14
    28.02.2025 Waratahs - Fijian Drua 29:24
    22.03.2024 Fijian Drua - Waratahs 39:36
    20.05.2023 Waratahs - Fijian Drua 32:18
    Latest results of Fijian Drua
    02.05.2026 Fijian Drua - Highlanders 24:14
    26.04.2026 Chiefs - Fijian Drua 42:22
    18.04.2026 Brumbies - Fijian Drua 28:33
    11.04.2026 Fijian Drua - Western Force 24:22
    03.04.2026 Crusaders - Fijian Drua 69:26
    Latest results of Waratahs
    09.05.2026 Highlanders - Waratahs 31:26
    01.05.2026 Waratahs - Western Force 17:20
    24.04.2026 Crusaders - Waratahs 35:20
    17.04.2026 Waratahs - Moana Pasifika 29:14
    04.04.2026 Chiefs - Waratahs 42:14
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hurricanes (1)Brumbies (6)66 : 12
    3Chiefs (2)Reds (5)46 : 24
    4Crusaders (3)Blues (4)52 : 31

    Semi-finals
    1Hurricanes (1)Blues (4)57 : 21
    2Chiefs (2)Crusaders (3)49 : 12

    Final
    1Hurricanes (1)Chiefs (2)60 : 5
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