Result
4:0
11/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Diego Ceara ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 0, Diego Ceara ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 73', 3 - 0, Diego Ceara ⚽,
- 80', 4 - 0, Marcelo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sousa
38.2% | Draw
32% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Sousa - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.13) |
2.82 ↓
(3.06) |
3.05 ↓
(3.31) |
10.6%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sousa - Ferroviário Fortaleza?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Sousa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ferroviário is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sousa has had a series of away games.
- Sousa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sousa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against Ferroviário Fortaleza?
Sousa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviário Fortaleza won against Sousa?
Ferroviário Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
26.03.2025
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Sousa
2:0
Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Manauara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Aguia De Maraba | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Independencia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Trem | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Manaus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | GAS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 8 | Humaita | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:15 | -13 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AE Altos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Imperatriz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 7 |
| 3 | Iguatu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Tocantinopolis | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Maracana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Sampaio Correa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Parnahyba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | America RN | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Central SC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Treze PB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Sousa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 8 | Horizonte | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 | Jequie | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Juazeirense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 5 | Uniao Carmolandense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sergipe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ceilandia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Luverdense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Aparecidense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Mixto | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Capital | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Goiania | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Porto Velho | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Goianesia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Pouso Alegre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Boavista | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Rio Branco ES | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Agua Santa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Porto Vitoria | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Marica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Nova Iguacu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cianorte | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Inter de Limeira | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Cascavel | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 4 | Itabirito | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Operario MS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Goiatuba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Uberlandia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Monte Azul | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barra FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Joinville | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Azuriz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | EC Sao Jose | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Marcilio Dias | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Guarany de Bage | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Brasil de Pelotas | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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