Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense vs Ferroviário Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
61.8%
Draw
23%
Ferroviário Fortaleza
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 27.2% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.8% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviário Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.77)
    3.96
    (3.33)
    6.03
    (4.2)
    9.6%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • ASA is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ferroviário is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that ASA will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:1
    06.01.2024 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 1:2
    05.01.2023 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 1
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0
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