Ferroviária vs Vila Nova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Vila Nova
Result
1:3
06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 15
  • Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
Ferroviária - Vila Nova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.45
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
87% (443/509)78% (266/340)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.002.46
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
87% (443/509)78% (266/340)
Long passes
66% (35/53)28% (14/50)
Passes in final third
75% (114/151)50% (39/78)
Crosses
25% (8/32)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.53
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
1413
Tackles
53% (8/15)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4150
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
2.461.00
Goals prevented
-0.540.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Weverton ,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Carlao , Thayllon (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', Netinho 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Dodo (Pen),
  • 67', Bruno Xavier , Junior Todinho ,
  • 68', Thayllon , Alencar ,
  • 68', Thiago Lopes , Wesley Pomba ,
  • 68', Ricardinho , Ronaldo ,
  • 69', Weverton 🟨,
  • 74', Wesley Pomba , Kevin ,
  • 78', Dodo , Ralf ,
  • 78', Guilherme Parede , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 83', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 86', Igor Henrique , Ruan Ribeiro ,
  • 86', Andre Luis , Paje G. ,
  • 89', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
  • 90+2', Edson Lucas , Igor Bolt ,
  • 90+9', 1 - 3, Junior Todinho ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
40.9%
Draw
32.9%
Vila Nova
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 31.4% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 30.2% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Ferroviária - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.23)
    2.84
    (2.97)
    3.55
    (3.48)
    7.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: Ferroviária will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ferroviária will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vila Nova has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ferroviária will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Inactive) Erik Nascimento (Inactive) Juninho (Yellow Cards) Ronaldo Alves (Yellow Cards) Ze Mario (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson (Inactive) Emerson Urso (Inactive) Walisson Maia (Inactive) Willian Formiga (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel (Inactive) Caua A. (Inactive) Gustavo Jundi (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Marcondes (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias23135529:20944
    2Coritiba23127424:15943
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo23811424:20435
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB23941024:22231
    11Athletico-PR2386929:32-330
    12Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    13Operario-PR2276923:22127
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG23641323:32-922
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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