Result
2:3 penalties
05/08/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
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Chances of winning
Hercílio Luz
44.3% | Draw
33.4% | Ferroviária
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Hercílio Luz - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.05) |
2.71 ↓
(3.1) |
4.05 ↑
(3.65) |
10.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Hercílio Luz - Ferroviária?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- Hercílio Luz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Hercílio Luz is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hercílio Luz won against Ferroviária?
Hercílio Luz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Hercílio Luz?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hercílio Luz - Ferroviária were as follows:
29.07.2023
Ferroviária
-
Hercílio Luz
1:1
Latest results of Hercílio Luz
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Manauara | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Independencia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Manaus | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Trem | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | GAS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 8 | Humaita | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:15 | -13 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AE Altos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Imperatriz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 7 |
| 3 | Iguatu | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tocantinopolis | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Maracana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Sampaio Correa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Parnahyba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | America RN | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Treze PB | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 9 |
| 4 | Central SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Ferroviario | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Sousa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Horizonte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 4 | Sergipe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Jequie | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ceilandia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Aparecidense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Capital | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Mixto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Porto Velho | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Goiania | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Rio Branco ES | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Marica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Pouso Alegre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Boavista | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Agua Santa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Nova Iguacu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Porto Vitoria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cianorte | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Inter de Limeira | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Goiatuba | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Cascavel | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 5 | Itabirito | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Operario MS | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 7 | Uberlandia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Monte Azul | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Barra FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Azuriz | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Sao Luiz | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 7 | Guarany de Bage | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Brasil de Pelotas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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