Result
2:3 penalties
05/08/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
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Chances of winning
Hercílio Luz
44.3% | Draw
33.4% | Ferroviária
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Hercílio Luz - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.05) |
2.71 ↓
(3.1) |
4.05 ↑
(3.65) |
10.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- Hercílio Luz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Hercílio Luz is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hercílio Luz won against Ferroviária?
Hercílio Luz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Hercílio Luz?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hercílio Luz - Ferroviária were as follows:
29.07.2023
Ferroviária
-
Hercílio Luz
1:1
Latest results of Hercílio Luz
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manauara | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:5 | 14 | 19 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Aguia De Maraba | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Independencia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Manaus | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Trem | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | GAS | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 8 | Humaita | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7:35 | -28 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AE Altos | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Imperatriz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 15 |
| 3 | Sampaio Correa | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Iguatu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Tocantinopolis | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Parnahyba | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Maranhao | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Maracana | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Central SC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | America RN | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 10 |
| 6 | Treze PB | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 9 |
| 7 | Horizonte | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | Sousa | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 14 | 20 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 3 | Sergipe | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Jequie | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aparecidense | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Ceilandia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 17 |
| 4 | Mixto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Capital | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Goianesia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
| 7 | Porto Velho | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 5 |
| 8 | Goiania | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 2 | Agua Santa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Rio Branco ES | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Pouso Alegre | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 5 | Marica | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Porto Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Nova Iguacu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Boavista | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Limeira | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Goiatuba | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Cianorte | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Cascavel | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 5 | Uberlandia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Itabirito | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Monte Azul | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Operario MS | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 6 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Joinville | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | EC Sao Jose | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Barra FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Brasil de Pelotas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 6 | Azuriz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sao Luiz | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 |
| 8 | Guarany de Bage | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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