Ferroviária vs Coritiba: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Coritiba
Result
2:1
02/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 6
  • Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
Ferroviária - Coritiba - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.70
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
85% (384/451)85% (343/402)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.33
Total shots
149
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
169
Passes
85% (384/451)85% (343/402)
Long passes
49% (25/51)57% (30/53)
Passes in final third
71% (74/104)65% (51/79)
Crosses
33% (6/18)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.54
Throw-ins
1723
Fouls
916
Tackles
45% (5/11)88% (14/16)
Duels won
3537
Clearances
1613
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.331.17
Goals prevented
-0.67-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Gustavo Coutinho , Filipe Machado (A),
  • 28', Josue 🟨,
  • 29', Eric Melo 🟨,
  • 29', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Alencar , Thiago Lopes ,
  • 46', Ian Luccas , Albano ,
  • 52', Bruno Melo 🟨,
  • 55', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Carlao , Juninho (A),
  • 68', Wallisson 🟨,
  • 70', Wallisson , Vini Paulista ,
  • 70', Gustavo Coutinho , Junior Brumado ,
  • 73', Juninho , Igor Bolt ,
  • 78', Josue , Geovane ,
  • 78', Filipe Machado , de Pena C. ,
  • 80', Guilherme Vargas 🟨,
  • 80', Ricardinho , Tarik ,
  • 81', Eric Melo , Ze Mario ,
  • 81', Lucas Ronier , Ruan Assis ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Carlao , Ze Mario (A),

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
31.9%
Draw
33.4%
Coritiba
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 30.2% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 30.3% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviária's form might have worsened.
  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Ferroviária - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.4)
    2.82
    (3.08)
    2.74
    (2.99)
    6.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Coritiba?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Recent performances by Ferroviária have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Coritiba is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive) Ze Mario (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Dellatorre (Inactive) Everaldo (Inactive) Nicolas Careca (Injury) Pedro Morisco (Inactive) Rodrigo Moledo (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Latest results of Coritiba
    21.04.2025 Remo - Coritiba 1:0
    12.04.2025 Chapecoense - Coritiba 1:2
    05.04.2025 Coritiba - Vila Nova 1:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Remo1878321:16529
    6Cuiaba1884622:21128
    7Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    8Criciuma1875622:17526
    9CRB1974820:18225
    10Avai1867521:20125
    11Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    12Operario-PR1965821:20123
    13Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Ferroviaria1948718:22-420
    17Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1846812:22-1018

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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