Ferroviária vs Botafogo SP: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Botafogo SP
Result
1:1
29/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 10
  • Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
Ferroviária - Botafogo SP - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.51
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
86% (386/447)86% (381/445)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.17
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
86% (386/447)86% (381/445)
Long passes
42% (27/64)59% (24/41)
Passes in final third
73% (52/71)73% (104/142)
Crosses
43% (6/14)16% (5/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.99
Throw-ins
1224
Fouls
1012
Tackles
48% (10/21)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
3317
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.171.16
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Matheus Regis 🟨,
  • 10', Victor Souza 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Netinho (Pen),
  • 33', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 36', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gabriel Bispo , Abdulai S. ,
  • 46', Matheus Regis , Robinho ,
  • 48', Juninho 🟨,
  • 63', Netinho , Tarik ,
  • 63', Dramisino A. , Carrillo R. ,
  • 63', Albano , Thayllon ,
  • 79', Lucas Rodrigues , Kevin ,
  • 80', Juninho , Vitor Barreto ,
  • 80', Carlao , Quirino ,
  • 80', Jonathan Cafu , Willian Lins ,
  • 80', Jefferson Nem , Wallison ,
  • 85', Tarik 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Maciel L. , Carrillo R. (A),

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
46.2%
Draw
30%
Botafogo SP
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 28% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 26.9% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Ferroviária - Botafogo SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.86)
    3.11
    (3.33)
    3.97
    (4.29)
    6.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Botafogo SP?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Botafogo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ferroviária is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Gustavo Medina (Inactive) Tarik (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano (Injury) Jean Victor (Injury) Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Matheus Costa (Injury) Wesley Dias (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Thayllon (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Botafogo SP were as follows:
    11.02.2023 Ferroviária - Botafogo SP 1:2
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    23.05.2025 Goiás - Ferroviária 2:0
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    02.05.2025 Ferroviária - Coritiba 2:1
    27.04.2025 Cuiabá - Ferroviária 1:0
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias23135529:20944
    2Coritiba23127424:15943
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo23811424:20435
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB23941024:22231
    11Athletico-PR2386929:32-330
    12Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    13Operario-PR2276923:22127
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG23641323:32-922
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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