Ferroviária vs Botafogo SP: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Botafogo SP
Result
1:1
29/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 10
  • Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
Ferroviária - Botafogo SP - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.51
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
86% (386/447)86% (381/445)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.17
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
86% (386/447)86% (381/445)
Long passes
42% (27/64)59% (24/41)
Passes in final third
73% (52/71)73% (104/142)
Crosses
43% (6/14)16% (5/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.99
Throw-ins
1224
Fouls
1012
Tackles
48% (10/21)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
3317
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.171.16
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Matheus Regis 🟨,
  • 10', Victor Souza 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Netinho (Pen),
  • 33', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 36', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gabriel Bispo , Abdulai S. ,
  • 46', Matheus Regis , Robinho ,
  • 48', Juninho 🟨,
  • 63', Netinho , Tarik ,
  • 63', Dramisino A. , Carrillo R. ,
  • 63', Albano , Thayllon ,
  • 79', Lucas Rodrigues , Kevin ,
  • 80', Juninho , Vitor Barreto ,
  • 80', Carlao , Quirino ,
  • 80', Jonathan Cafu , Willian Lins ,
  • 80', Jefferson Nem , Wallison ,
  • 85', Tarik 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Maciel L. , Carrillo R. (A),

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
46.2%
Draw
30%
Botafogo SP
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 28% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 26.9% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Ferroviária - Botafogo SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.86)
    3.11
    (3.33)
    3.97
    (4.29)
    6.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Botafogo SP?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Botafogo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ferroviária is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Gustavo Medina (Inactive) Tarik (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano (Injury) Jean Victor (Injury) Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Matheus Costa (Injury) Wesley Dias (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Thayllon (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Botafogo SP were as follows:
    11.02.2023 Ferroviária - Botafogo SP 1:2
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    23.05.2025 Goiás - Ferroviária 2:0
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    02.05.2025 Ferroviária - Coritiba 2:1
    27.04.2025 Cuiabá - Ferroviária 1:0
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba1593315:6930
    2Goias1492318:11729
    3Novorizontino1475218:10826
    4Avai1465319:13623
    5Remo1465317:13423
    6CRB1563615:14121
    7Cuiaba1463515:16-121
    8Atletico GO1556416:14221
    9America MG1462616:16020
    10Athletico-PR1462618:19-120
    11Chapecoense-SC1461717:14319
    12Vila Nova FC1461711:14-319
    13Ferroviaria1446414:14018
    14Operario-PR1452716:17-117
    15Criciuma1444616:15116
    16Botafogo SP1444612:17-516
    17Amazonas1435612:19-714
    18Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    19Paysandu PA143479:15-613
    20Athletic Club14401013:23-1012

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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