Ferroviária vs Avaí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Avaí
Result
1:1
15/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 8
Ferroviária - Avaí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.32
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
87% (506/579)78% (216/277)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.09
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
115
Passes
87% (506/579)78% (216/277)
Long passes
54% (34/63)58% (34/59)
Passes in final third
71% (80/113)59% (47/79)
Crosses
15% (3/20)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.25
Throw-ins
3111
Fouls
511
Tackles
91% (10/11)100% (4/4)
Duels won
5033
Clearances
2624
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.090.82
Goals prevented
0.09-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Cleber , Joao Vitor (A),
  • 15', Mario Sergio , Andrey ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Thiago Lopes , Carlao (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', JP , Emerson Negueba ,
  • 58', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
  • 61', Eric Melo , Ze Mario ,
  • 74', Ricardinho , Alencar ,
  • 75', Juninho , Igor Bolt ,
  • 75', Hygor , Gaspar ,
  • 81', Albano , Cassio Gabriel ,
  • 81', Netinho , Ian Luccas ,
  • 82', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
  • 84', Marcos Vinicius , Railan ,
  • 84', Marquinhos Gabriel , Mendes ,
  • 86', Thiago Lopes , Ronaldo ,
  • 90', Cleber , Rigley ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
38.1%
Draw
32.9%
Avaí
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.3% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Ferroviária - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.18)
    2.84
    (3.2)
    3.23
    (3.15)
    6.9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Ferroviária has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Avaí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga (Yellow Cards) Leo Reis (Inactive) Renan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Ronaldo Alves (Inactive) Thayllon (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Gustavo Barreto (Inactive) Quaresma (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Latest results of Avaí
    05.05.2025 Goiás - Avaí 2:1
    26.04.2025 Avaí - América Mineiro 3:0
    21.04.2025 Amazonas - Avaí 0:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC231031022:22033
    9Operario-PR2496926:23333
    10Cuiaba2396827:27033
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2389630:23733
    13Atletico GO24710726:26031
    14Ferroviaria2379725:24130
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17Amazonas24591025:34-924
    18Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    19America MG23641323:32-922
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ferroviária - Avaí?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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