Ferroviária vs Avaí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Avaí
Result
1:1
15/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 8
Ferroviária - Avaí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.32
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
87% (506/579)78% (216/277)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.09
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
115
Passes
87% (506/579)78% (216/277)
Long passes
54% (34/63)58% (34/59)
Passes in final third
71% (80/113)59% (47/79)
Crosses
15% (3/20)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.25
Throw-ins
3111
Fouls
511
Tackles
91% (10/11)100% (4/4)
Duels won
5033
Clearances
2624
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.090.82
Goals prevented
0.09-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Cleber , Joao Vitor (A),
  • 15', Mario Sergio , Andrey ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Thiago Lopes , Carlao (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', JP , Emerson Negueba ,
  • 58', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
  • 61', Eric Melo , Ze Mario ,
  • 74', Ricardinho , Alencar ,
  • 75', Juninho , Igor Bolt ,
  • 75', Hygor , Gaspar ,
  • 81', Albano , Cassio Gabriel ,
  • 81', Netinho , Ian Luccas ,
  • 82', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
  • 84', Marcos Vinicius , Railan ,
  • 84', Marquinhos Gabriel , Mendes ,
  • 86', Thiago Lopes , Ronaldo ,
  • 90', Cleber , Rigley ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
38.1%
Draw
32.9%
Avaí
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.3% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Ferroviária - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.18)
    2.84
    (3.2)
    3.23
    (3.15)
    6.9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Ferroviária has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Avaí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga (Yellow Cards) Leo Reis (Inactive) Renan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Ronaldo Alves (Inactive) Thayllon (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Gustavo Barreto (Inactive) Quaresma (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Latest results of Avaí
    05.05.2025 Goiás - Avaí 2:1
    26.04.2025 Avaí - América Mineiro 3:0
    21.04.2025 Amazonas - Avaí 0:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias21125428:181041
    2Coritiba21116422:14839
    3Novorizontino2199324:17736
    4Chapecoense-SC21104728:20834
    5Remo2189423:19433
    6Avai2188529:21832
    7Cuiaba2194824:24031
    8Criciuma2085723:18529
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Atletico GO2169621:21027
    11Operario-PR2175923:22126
    12Athletico-PR2075825:27-226
    13Ferroviaria2168722:23-126
    14CRB2074922:21125
    15Athletic Club20731023:27-424
    16Volta Redonda2157914:23-922
    17America MG21631221:29-821
    18Botafogo SP21561014:30-1621
    19Paysandu PA2049719:22-321
    20Amazonas2148921:29-820

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ferroviária - Avaí?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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