Ferrol vs Zaragoza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol).

: LaLiga2 - Round 38
Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	1.23
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
75% (338/451)	60% (158/264)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.92	1.23
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
9	1
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
20	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
16	10
Passes
75% (338/451)	60% (158/264)
Long passes
35% (26/75)	30% (25/83)
Passes in final third
57% (64/113)	47% (40/86)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.28	0.60
Throw-ins
23	24
Fouls
10	16
Tackles
72% (13/18)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
53	43
Clearances
14	31
Interceptions
6	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.23	1.92
Goals prevented
-0.77	0.92

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Guti R. ⚽, Arriaga K. (A),
8', Arriaga K. 🟨,
25', Moya T. 🟨,
37', Gimenez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Arriaga K. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
46', Soberon M. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
46', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
46', Martinez B. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Ares A. ⚽, Tasende D. (A),
61', Sene J. (Pen),
61', 1 - 2, Sene J. ⚽,
61', Dorrio J. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
63', Gomez D. ↓, Aketxe A. ↑,
64', Gelardo A. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
69', Sans P. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
78', Nacho 🟨,
83', Moya T. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
84', Manzanara F. 🟨,
89', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/jxr4dsbu

Chances of winning

Ferrol
25.1%

Draw
29.2%

Zaragoza
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.4%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.7%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Ferrol - Zaragoza Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.73)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	2.07 ↑ (1.89)	6% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Ferrol - Zaragoza?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 2.5% – 64.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).
Recent form of Ferrol has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zaragoza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Zaragoza might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Ferrol: Bunuel A. (Eye injury) Cabaco E. (Knee Injury) Naldo (Yellow Cards) Perea L. (Heel Injury) Puric A. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Calf Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Zaragoza?

Ferrol has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Ferrol?

Zaragoza has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Zaragoza were as follows:

21.12.2024 Zaragoza - Ferrol 1:0

19.05.2024 Zaragoza - Ferrol 2:2

25.09.2023 Ferrol - Zaragoza 1:0

Latest results of Ferrol

29.04.2025 Almería - Ferrol 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Ferrol - Eldense 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Real Oviedo - Ferrol 3:0 ✺

07.04.2025 Elche - Ferrol 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Ferrol - Deportivo La Coruña 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Zaragoza

27.04.2025 Zaragoza - Huesca 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Levante - Zaragoza 5:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Zaragoza - Eibar 2:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Zaragoza - Mirandés 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Racing Santander - Zaragoza 2:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gijon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Castellon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cadiz CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Burgos CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Ceuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Granada CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Andorra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Ferrol - Zaragoza?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter