Ferrol vs Burgos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Ferrol - Burgos
Result
0:1
05/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 24
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
Ferrol - Burgos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.28
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
79
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
12
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1020
Offsides
40
Fouls
2010
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
3619
Touches in the Opposition Box
1717
Passes
81% (352/434)69% (211/304)
Passes in the final third
64% (74/115)50% (52/105)
Crosses
23% (6/26)25% (3/12)
Tackles
80% (8/10)53% (10/19)
Clearances Total
4356
Interceptions
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Elady , Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ,
  • 45+5', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cordoba I. , Curro ,
  • 46', Ojeda D. , Alex ,
  • 56', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Nino F. ,
  • 64', Insua E. , Martinez B. ,
  • 64', Blanco R. , Garcia N. ,
  • 69', Sene J. 🟨,
  • 71', Sene J. , Perea L. ,
  • 75', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 78', Dorrio J. , Borrego C. ,
  • 78', Jauregi E. , Carballo D. ,
  • 83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. , Pipa ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5cw5x8tx

Chances of winning


Ferrol
28.7%
Draw
35.6%
Burgos
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 32% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 32.9% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.
  • Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ferrol - Burgos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.43)
    2.65
    (2.92)
    2.65
    (3.18)
    6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Ferrol - Burgos?
    The most likely score is 0:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 0.
    • Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Burgos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Injury) Manzanara F. (Muscle Injury) Martinez B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Knee Injury) Navarro R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Burgos were as follows:
    24.10.2024 Burgos - Ferrol 1:1
    11.02.2024 Burgos - Ferrol 2:0
    19.11.2023 Ferrol - Burgos 1:1
    Latest results of Ferrol
    01.03.2025 Huesca - Ferrol 3:1
    22.02.2025 Ferrol - Córdoba 0:1
    14.02.2025 Mirandés - Ferrol 4:1
    08.02.2025 Ferrol - Castellón 1:3
    03.02.2025 Levante - Ferrol 0:1
    Latest results of Burgos
    01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1
    22.02.2025 Burgos - Real Oviedo 1:2
    16.02.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1
    09.02.2025 Burgos - Racing Santander 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levante402013765:402573
    2Elche402011953:341971
    3R. Oviedo401912953:411269
    4Mirandes392081154:381668
    5Racing Santander4019101160:471367
    6Almeria4018111170:551565
    7Granada CF4017111262:511162
    8Huesca4017101355:431261
    9Eibar4014131340:39155
    10Cordoba3914121356:56054
    11Albacete4014121454:56-254
    12Burgos CF401591637:43-654
    13Dep. La Coruna4013141356:49753
    14Cadiz CF4013131450:51-152
    15Malaga4012161240:42-252
    16Castellon4013111660:60050
    17Gijon4012141452:52050
    18Zaragoza4012121654:59-548
    19Eldense4011111839:57-1844
    20Tenerife ✔ 408122035:52-1736
    21Racing Club Ferrol ✔ 406122222:60-3830
    22FC Cartagena SAD ✔ 40652930:72-4223

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Relegated to
    Racing Club Ferrol is Relegated to
    FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to
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