Result
2:1
11/05/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 39
- Referee: Cid Camacho G. (Esp)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 119 | 104 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 52 | 24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Chema 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Castro D. ↓, Clemente E. ↑,
- 54', Sanca M. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
- 59', Chuca ↓, Pena H. ↑,
- 59', Gimenez A. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
- 59', Lopez A. ↓, Sene J. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Sene J. ⚽,
- 77', Mosquera P. ↓, Fede ↑,
- 78', Borrego C. ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Perez J. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, Serrano N. ⚽,
- 87', Losada I. ↓, Manzanara F. ↑,
- 89', Castro J. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ferrol
45.1% | Draw
31.4% | Alcorcón
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcorcón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcorcón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ferrol - Alcorcón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.65) |
3.03 ↓
(3.51) |
4.02 ↓
(5.69) |
5.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferrol - Alcorcón?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Ferrol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Alcorcón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Ferrol is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Alcorcón?
Ferrol has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcorcón won against Ferrol?
Alcorcón has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Alcorcón were as follows:
01.09.2023
Alcorcón
-
Ferrol
1:1
12.03.2023
Alcorcón
-
Ferrol
0:1
17.12.2022
Ferrol
-
Alcorcón
1:2
Latest results of Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. La Coruna | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 14 |
| 2 | Cadiz CF | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Racing Santander | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Valladolid | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Andorra | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Eibar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huesca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Burgos CF | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Gijon | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Malaga | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Almeria | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Leganes | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Mirandes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Ceuta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Castellon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | Albacete | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 22 | Granada CF | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
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