İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Turkish Super League İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe
Result
1:4
09/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Lig - Round 35
  • Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.463.47
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1419
Shots on target
69
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (363/441)85% (369/435)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.463.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.744.10
Total shots
1419
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
816
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2335
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
169
Passes
82% (363/441)85% (369/435)
Long passes
54% (29/54)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
59% (52/88)76% (90/119)
Crosses
37% (7/19)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.662.56
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
916
Tackles
53% (9/17)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
4.102.74
Goals prevented
-0.021.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Amrabat S. 🟨,
  • 20', Piatek K. (Pen),
  • 24', Diego Carlos 🟨,
  • 28', Talisca 🟨,
  • 30', Sahiner O. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Muldur M. , Yuksek I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Diego Carlos , Osayi-Samuel B. ,
  • 59', Brnic I. , Figueiredo J. ,
  • 59', Gunes U. , Ozdemir B. ,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Skriniar M. ,
  • 71', Dzeko E. , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 73', Sahiner O. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 73', Kemen O. , Beyaz O. ,
  • 79', Fred , Szymanski S. ,
  • 79', Sari Y. , Turuc D. ,
  • 79', Yuksek I. 🟨,
  • 85', Talisca , Kahveci I. C. ,
  • 85', Yuksek I. , Aydin O. ,
  • 86', 0 - 3, En Nesyri Y. , Kostic F. (A),
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Beyaz O. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Aydin O. , Kahveci I. C. (A),

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
21.8%
Draw
23.3%
Fenerbahçe
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 22.3% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1% 22.5% 60%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.37
    (5.15)
    4.05
    (4.22)
    1.73
    (1.59)
    5.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 69.1%96.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Ergun O. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Amrabat S. (Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Saint-Maximin A. (Injury) Soyuncu C. (Yellow Cards) Yandas M. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 3:1
    24.01.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 0:1
    28.09.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 4:0
    11.06.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    19.04.2023 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 1:2
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    04.05.2025 Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş 0:1
    26.04.2025 Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    20.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor 3:3
    13.04.2025 Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    06.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 4:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kayserispor00000:000
    2Trabzonspor00000:000
    3Antalyaspor00000:000
    4Gaziantep00000:000
    5Samsunspor00000:000
    6Alanyaspor00000:000
    7Eyupspor00000:000
    8Karagumruk00000:000
    9Galatasaray00000:000
    10Fenerbahce00000:000
    11Besiktas00000:000
    12Konyaspor00000:000
    13Genclerbirligi00000:000
    14Rizespor00000:000
    15Kasimpasa00000:000
    16Kocaelispor00000:000
    17Basaksehir00000:000
    18Goztepe00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

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