İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Turkish Super League İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe
Result
1:4
09/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Lig - Round 35
  • Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.463.47
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1419
Shots on target
69
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (363/441)85% (369/435)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.463.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.744.10
Total shots
1419
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
816
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2335
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
169
Passes
82% (363/441)85% (369/435)
Long passes
54% (29/54)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
59% (52/88)76% (90/119)
Crosses
37% (7/19)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.662.56
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
916
Tackles
53% (9/17)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
4.102.74
Goals prevented
-0.021.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Amrabat S. 🟨,
  • 20', Piatek K. (Pen),
  • 24', Diego Carlos 🟨,
  • 28', Talisca 🟨,
  • 30', Sahiner O. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Muldur M. , Yuksek I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Diego Carlos , Osayi-Samuel B. ,
  • 59', Brnic I. , Figueiredo J. ,
  • 59', Gunes U. , Ozdemir B. ,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Skriniar M. ,
  • 71', Dzeko E. , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 73', Sahiner O. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 73', Kemen O. , Beyaz O. ,
  • 79', Fred , Szymanski S. ,
  • 79', Sari Y. , Turuc D. ,
  • 79', Yuksek I. 🟨,
  • 85', Talisca , Kahveci I. C. ,
  • 85', Yuksek I. , Aydin O. ,
  • 86', 0 - 3, En Nesyri Y. , Kostic F. (A),
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Beyaz O. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Aydin O. , Kahveci I. C. (A),

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
21.8%
Draw
23.3%
Fenerbahçe
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 22.3% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1% 22.5% 60%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.37
    (5.15)
    4.05
    (4.22)
    1.73
    (1.59)
    5.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Ergun O. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Amrabat S. (Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Saint-Maximin A. (Injury) Soyuncu C. (Yellow Cards) Yandas M. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 3:1
    24.01.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 0:1
    28.09.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 4:0
    11.06.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    19.04.2023 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 1:2
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    04.05.2025 Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş 0:1
    26.04.2025 Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    20.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor 3:3
    13.04.2025 Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    06.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 4:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray33275184:315386
    2Fenerbahce33246384:335178
    3Besiktas331610753:332058
    4Samsunspor331761050:381257
    5Basaksehir331561255:49651
    6Eyupspor341481249:44550
    7Goztepe3312111054:411347
    8Konyaspor341371443:46-346
    9Trabzonspor3312101153:421146
    10Kasimpasa331113957:56146
    11Kayserispor3311111143:51-844
    12Antalyaspor331271436:58-2243
    13Gaziantep331261541:46-542
    14Rizespor331241739:52-1340
    15Alanyaspor331081538:48-1038
    16Bodrumspor33981624:37-1335
    17Sivasspor34981744:57-1335
    18Hatayspor ✔ 33482136:67-3120
    19Adana Demirspor ✔ 33242729:83-54-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to 1. Lig
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