AEK Larnaca vs Fenerbahçe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League AEK Larnaca - Fenerbahçe
13/10/2022 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
AEK Larnaca - Fenerbahçe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
19.5%
Draw
25.4%
Fenerbahçe
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 27.7% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 29.4% 52.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • AEK Larnaca - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.91
    (4.21)
    3.77
    (3.45)
    1.74
    (1.92)
    4.5%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    06.10.2022 Fenerbahçe - AEK Larnaca 2:0
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    06.10.2022 Fenerbahçe - AEK Larnaca 2:0
    01.10.2022 AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis 4:0
    18.09.2022 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 1:0
    15.09.2022 Dynamo Kyiv - AEK Larnaca 0:1
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1AZ Alkmaar (19)Galatasaray (14)2 : 2, 4 : 1
    2Tottenham (4)Bye
    3Royale Union SG (21)Ajax (12)2 : 1, 0 : 2
    4Eintracht Frankfurt (5)Bye
    5Twente (23)Bodo/Glimt (9)2 : 5, 2 : 1
    6Olympiacos Piraeus (7)Bye
    7Ferencvaros (17)Plzen (16)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    8Lazio (1)Bye
    9Fenerbahce (24)Anderlecht (10)2 : 2, 3 : 0
    10Rangers (8)Bye
    11FC Porto (18)AS Roma (15)2 : 3, 1 : 1
    12Ath Bilbao (2)Bye
    13PAOK (22)FCSB (11)0 : 2, 1 : 2
    14Lyon (6)Bye
    15Midtjylland (20)Real Sociedad (13)2 : 5, 1 : 2
    16Manchester Utd (3)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1AZ Alkmaar (19)Tottenham (4)1 : 3, 1 : 0
    2Ajax (12)Eintracht Frankfurt (5)1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3Bodo/Glimt (9)Olympiacos Piraeus (7)1 : 2, 3 : 0
    4Plzen (16)Lazio (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2
    5Fenerbahce (24)Rangers (8)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    6AS Roma (15)Ath Bilbao (2)1 : 3, 2 : 1
    7FCSB (11)Lyon (6)0 : 4, 1 : 3
    8Real Sociedad (13)Manchester Utd (3)1 : 4, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Tottenham (4)Eintracht Frankfurt (5)1 : 0, 1 : 1
    2Bodo/Glimt (9)Lazio (1)2 : 3, 2 : 0
    3Rangers (8)Ath Bilbao (2)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Lyon (6)Manchester Utd (3)4 : 5, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tottenham (4)Bodo/Glimt (9)2 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Ath Bilbao (2)Manchester Utd (3)1 : 4, 0 : 3

    Final
    1Tottenham (4)Manchester Utd (3)
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