Lorenzo Musetti vs Felix Aliassime-Auger: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Result
2:1

23/03/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger - Gamble Responsibly 18+

00:00 / 90:00

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Match Stats


Aces
1	11
Double Faults
1	4
1st Serve Percentage
65%	78%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (40/60)	66% (46/70)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (20/33)	40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)	71% (10/14)
1st Return Points Won
34% (24/70)	33% (20/60)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (12/20)	39% (13/33)
Break Points Converted
29% (4/14)	25% (2/8)
Winners
19	25
Unforced Errors
26	51
Net Points Won
82% (9/11)	59% (13/22)
Service Points Won
65% (60/93)	60% (54/90)
Return Points Won
40% (36/90)	35% (33/93)
Total Points Won
52% (96/183)	48% (87/183)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)	69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)	14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
59% (16/27)	41% (11/27)

Chances of winning

Lorenzo Musetti 38.5%

Felix Aliassime-Auger 61.5%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Lorenzo Musetti 39.9%

Felix Aliassime-Auger 60.1%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Lorenzo Musetti 36.7%

Felix Aliassime-Auger 63.3%

Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.38)		1.54 ↓ (1.58)	5.4% (5.3%)

What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger?

The most likely score is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Musetti is ranked ATP: 16. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 19.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Musetti won 3.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Aliassime-Auger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Aliassime-Auger will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Musetti won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Felix Aliassime-Auger?

Lorenzo Musetti has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Felix Aliassime-Auger won against Lorenzo Musetti?

Felix Aliassime-Auger has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger were as follows:

03.08.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:1

26.11.2022 Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger 0:2

15.10.2022 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti 2:0

Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti

21.03.2025 Lorenzo Musetti - Quentin Halys 2:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti 1:2 ✺

18.02.2025 Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lorenzo Musetti Canceled ✺

14.02.2025 Lorenzo Musetti - Pedro Martinez Portero Martinez P. walkover ✺

Latest results of Felix Aliassime-Auger

21.03.2025 Tristan Schoolkate - Felix Aliassime-Auger 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Jenson Brooksby - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Quentin Halys - Felix Aliassime-Auger 1:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Bonzi B.	Fearnley J. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Thompson J.	Giron M.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)
5	Fils A. (17)	Bye
6	Diallo G. (LL)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 0
7	Struff J-L.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (16)
9	Rune H. (11)	Bye
10	Eubanks C. (WC)	Opelka R. (PR)	0 : 2
11	Arnaldi M.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Machac T. (20)
13	Popyrin A. (25)	Bye
14	Safiullin R.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Bautista-Agut R.	Mensik J.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Draper J. (6)
17	Fritz T. (3)	Bye
18	Sonego L.	Navone M.	2 : 0
19	Tirante T. A. (Q)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
20	Bye	Shapovalov D. (27)
21	Walton A. (LL)	Bye
22	Martinez P.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
23	Wong C. (WC)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Shelton B. (13)
25	De Minaur A. (10)	Bye
26	Bu Y.	Norrie C.	2 : 0
27	Fonseca J.	Tien L.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Humbert U. (19)
29	Berrettini M. (29)	Bye
30	Gaston H. (LL)	Nishioka Y. (RET.)	1 : 0
31	Bergs Z.	Borges N.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rublev A. (8)
33	Medvedev D. (7)	Bye
34	Rinderknech A.	Munar J.	0 : 2
35	Monfils G.	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Lehecka J. (26)
37	Korda S. (24)	Bye
38	Spizzirri E. (WC)	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 1
39	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Bellucci M.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (9)
41	Musetti L. (15)	Bye
42	Seyboth Wild T.	Halys Q.	0 : 2
43	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Quinn E. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
45	Michelsen A. (32)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)	Holt B. (Q)	2 : 1
47	Hijikata R.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Ruud C. (5)	Bye
50	Kovacevic A.	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
51	Blockx A. (Q)	Moutet C.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tabilo A. (30)
53	Cerundolo F. (23)	Bye
54	Muller A.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Bublik A.	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Paul T. (12)
57	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
58	Comesana F. (Q)	Cina F. (WC)	0 : 2
59	McDonald M. (Q)	Kyrgios N. (PR)	1 : 2
60	Bye	Khachanov K. (22)
61	Nakashima B. (31)	Bye
62	O'Connell C. (Q)	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 2
63	Vukic A.	Goffin D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
2	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)	2 : 0
3	Fils A. (17)	Diallo G. (RET.)	1 : 0
4	Davidovich Fokina A.	Tiafoe F. (16)	0 : 2
5	Rune H. (11)	Opelka R.	1 : 2
6	Arnaldi M.	Machac T. (20)	1 : 2
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Safiullin R.	1 : 2
8	Mensik J.	Draper J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Fritz T. (3)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
10	Tirante T. A.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 2
11	Walton A. (LL)	Darderi L.	2 : 0
12	Wong C.	Shelton B. (13)	2 : 1
13	De Minaur A. (10)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Fonseca J.	Humbert U. (19)	2 : 0
15	Berrettini M. (29)	Gaston H.	2 : 1
16	Bergs Z.	Rublev A. (8)	2 : 0
17	Medvedev D. (7)	Munar J.	0 : 2
18	Monfils G.	Lehecka J. (26)	2 : 1
19	Korda S. (24)	Spizzirri E.	2 : 0
20	Tseng C. H.	Tsitsipas S. (9)	1 : 2
21	Musetti L. (15)	Halys Q.	2 : 1
22	Schoolkate T.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	0 : 2
23	Michelsen A. (32)	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
24	Hijikata R.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Ruud C. (5)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
26	Moutet C.	Tabilo A. (30)	1 : 2
27	Cerundolo F. (23)	Muller A.	2 : 0
28	Bublik A.	Paul T. (12)	1 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (14)	Cina F.	2 : 0
30	Kyrgios N.	Khachanov K. (22)	0 : 2
31	Nakashima B. (31)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 1
32	Goffin D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
2	Fils A. (17)	Tiafoe F. (16)	2 : 1
3	Opelka R.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
4	Safiullin R.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
5	Fritz T. (3)	Shapovalov D. (27)	2 : 0
6	Walton A.	Wong C.	2 : 1
7	De Minaur A. (10)	Fonseca J.	2 : 1
8	Berrettini M. (29)	Bergs Z.	2 : 0
9	Munar J.	Monfils G.	1 : 2
10	Korda S. (24)	Tsitsipas S. (9)	2 : 0
11	Musetti L. (15)	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 1
12	Ugo Carabelli C.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
13	Ruud C. (5)	Tabilo A. (30)	2 : 0
14	Cerundolo F. (23)	Paul T. (12)	2 : 0
15	Dimitrov G. (14)	Khachanov K. (22)	2 : 1
16	Nakashima B. (31)	Goffin D.	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fils A. (17)
2	Machac T. (20)	Mensik J.
3	Fritz T. (3)	Walton A.
4	De Minaur A. (10)	Berrettini M. (29)
5	Monfils G.	Korda S. (24)
6	Musetti L. (15)	Djokovic N. (4)
7	Ruud C. (5)	Cerundolo F. (23)
8	Dimitrov G. (14)	Nakashima B. (31)

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

TBD #1

TBD #2